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eSoccer Game on Kalshi
If Everton (Antonio) and Crystal Palace (Holis) tie in the Crystal Palace (Holis) vs Everton (Antonio) professional Valhalla Cup 2026 Week #46 eSoccer match originally scheduled for Nov 10, 2026 at 4:06 PM EST, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: DRAFTED.GG.
Market says (typical open contract)
48%
Median YES price across 135 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
95% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 47¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.86 | 48.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton (Bony) wins · Everton (Bony) | 43¢ | 43% | 1.7¢ | — | 86% | 845 | Nov 24, 17:52 UTC |
| Game ends in a tie · Tie | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 426 | Nov 24, 17:52 UTC |
| Real Madrid (Haze) wins · Real Madrid (Haze) | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 377 | Nov 24, 17:56 UTC |
| Nottingham Forest (Sheerpy) wins · Nottingham Forest (Sheerpy) | 26¢ | 26% | 1.4¢ | — | 53% | 221 | Nov 24, 17:54 UTC |
| RC Lens (Florie) wins · RC Lens (Florie) | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 195 | Nov 24, 18:05 UTC |
| Chelsea (Holis) wins · Chelsea (Holis) | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 61% | 194 | Nov 24, 17:52 UTC |
| Chelsea (Sheerpy) wins · Chelsea (Sheerpy) | 16¢ | 16% | 0.9¢ | — | 31% | 152 | Nov 24, 18:08 UTC |
| Newcastle Utd (Antonio) wins · Newcastle Utd (Antonio) | 59¢ | 59% | 1.7¢ | — | 82% | 43 | Nov 24, 17:54 UTC |
| Chelsea (Antonio) wins · Chelsea (Antonio) | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 47% | 38 | Nov 24, 18:47 UTC |
| Manchester Utd (Fede) wins · Manchester Utd (Fede) | 26¢ | 26% | 1.4¢ | — | 53% | 34 | Nov 24, 18:06 UTC |
| Slavia Praha (Haze) wins · Slavia Praha (Haze) | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 22 | Nov 24, 18:09 UTC |
| Paris Saint-Germain (Olive) wins · Paris Saint-Germain (Olive) | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 17 | Nov 24, 18:05 UTC |
| OL Lyonnes (Mia) wins · OL Lyonnes (Mia) | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 72% | 15 | Nov 24, 18:18 UTC |
| Arsenal (Mantis) wins · Arsenal (Mantis) | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 85% | 10 | Nov 24, 18:09 UTC |
| Game ends in a tie · Tie | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 24, 21:06 UTC |
| Crystal Palace (Holis) wins · Crystal Palace (Holis) | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Nov 24, 21:06 UTC |
| Everton (Antonio) wins · Everton (Antonio) | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Nov 24, 21:06 UTC |
| Game ends in a tie · Tie | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 24, 20:52 UTC |
| Crystal Palace (Holis) wins · Crystal Palace (Holis) | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Nov 24, 20:52 UTC |
| Chelsea (Fede) wins · Chelsea (Fede) | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Nov 24, 20:52 UTC |
| Game ends in a tie · Tie | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 24, 20:42 UTC |
| Benfica (Ryft) wins · Benfica (Ryft) | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Nov 24, 20:42 UTC |
| Leverkusen (Haze) wins · Leverkusen (Haze) | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Nov 24, 20:42 UTC |
| Game ends in a tie · Tie | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 24, 20:28 UTC |
| Manchester City (Ryft) wins · Manchester City (Ryft) | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Nov 24, 20:28 UTC |
| Paris Saint-Germain (Mantis) wins · Paris Saint-Germain (Mantis) | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Nov 24, 20:28 UTC |
| Game ends in a tie · Tie | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 24, 20:14 UTC |
| Leverkusen (Mantis) wins · Leverkusen (Mantis) | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 24, 20:14 UTC |
| FC Bayern (Haze) wins · FC Bayern (Haze) | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 24, 20:14 UTC |
| Game ends in a tie · Tie | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 24, 20:00 UTC |
| Liverpool (Ryft) wins · Liverpool (Ryft) | 47¢ | 47% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 0 | Nov 24, 20:00 UTC |
| Real Madrid (Haze) wins · Real Madrid (Haze) | 47¢ | 47% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 0 | Nov 24, 20:00 UTC |
| Game ends in a tie · Tie | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 24, 20:38 UTC |
| Crystal Palace (Holis) wins · Crystal Palace (Holis) | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Nov 24, 20:38 UTC |
| Sunderland (Bony) wins · Sunderland (Bony) | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 24, 20:38 UTC |
| Game ends in a tie · Tie | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 24, 20:24 UTC |
| Sunderland (Bony) wins · Sunderland (Bony) | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Nov 24, 20:24 UTC |
| Everton (Antonio) wins · Everton (Antonio) | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Nov 24, 20:24 UTC |
| Game ends in a tie · Tie | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 24, 19:46 UTC |
| Juventus (Ryft) wins · Juventus (Ryft) | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 24, 19:46 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 135 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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