What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 0¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.48.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 1% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 0%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Crypto

Ethereum range on Kalshi

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI) before 5 AM EST is above 2844.99 at 5 AM EST on Nov 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: CF Benchmarks.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 390 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

1% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
1¢ (now)	0.1¢	$3.47	1.1%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Ethereum price at Nov 13, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,120 to 2,159.99	12¢	12%	0.7¢	—	23%	432	Nov 13, 22:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 13, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,200 to 2,239.99	8¢	8%	0.5¢	—	17%	359	Nov 13, 22:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5am EST? · $2,090 to 2,094.99	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	185	Nov 10, 10:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5am EST? · $2,085 to 2,089.99	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	141	Nov 10, 10:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5am EST? · $2,095 to 2,099.99	40¢	40%	1.7¢	—	81%	130	Nov 10, 10:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5am EST? · $2,080 to 2,084.99	4¢	4%	0.3¢	—	8%	125	Nov 10, 10:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5am EST? · $2,100 to 2,104.99	55¢	55%	1.7¢	—	91%	115	Nov 10, 10:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5am EST? · $2,105 to 2,109.99	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	7%	64	Nov 10, 10:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5am EST? · $2,110 to 2,114.99	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	40	Nov 10, 10:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5am EST? · $2,075 to 2,079.99	4¢	4%	0.3¢	—	9%	37	Nov 10, 10:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 13, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,240 to 2,279.99	8¢	8%	0.5¢	—	16%	30	Nov 13, 22:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5am EST? · $2,115 to 2,119.99	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	14	Nov 10, 10:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 13, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,040 to 2,079.99	17¢	17%	1.0¢	—	34%	13	Nov 13, 22:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5am EST? · $2,120 to 2,124.99	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	10	Nov 10, 10:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5am EST? · $2,845 or above	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Nov 10, 10:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5am EST? · $1,354.99 or below	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Nov 10, 10:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5am EST? · $2,840 to 2,844.99	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Nov 10, 10:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5am EST? · $2,835 to 2,839.99	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Nov 10, 10:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5am EST? · $2,830 to 2,834.99	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Nov 10, 10:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5am EST? · $2,825 to 2,829.99	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Nov 10, 10:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5am EST? · $2,820 to 2,824.99	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Nov 10, 10:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5am EST? · $2,815 to 2,819.99	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Nov 10, 10:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5am EST? · $2,810 to 2,814.99	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Nov 10, 10:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5am EST? · $2,805 to 2,809.99	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Nov 10, 10:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5am EST? · $2,800 to 2,804.99	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Nov 10, 10:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5am EST? · $2,795 to 2,799.99	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Nov 10, 10:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5am EST? · $2,790 to 2,794.99	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Nov 10, 10:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5am EST? · $2,785 to 2,789.99	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Nov 10, 10:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5am EST? · $2,780 to 2,784.99	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Nov 10, 10:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5am EST? · $2,775 to 2,779.99	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Nov 10, 10:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5am EST? · $2,770 to 2,774.99	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Nov 10, 10:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5am EST? · $2,765 to 2,769.99	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Nov 10, 10:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5am EST? · $2,760 to 2,764.99	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Nov 10, 10:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5am EST? · $2,755 to 2,759.99	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Nov 10, 10:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5am EST? · $2,750 to 2,754.99	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Nov 10, 10:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5am EST? · $2,745 to 2,749.99	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Nov 10, 10:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5am EST? · $2,740 to 2,744.99	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Nov 10, 10:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5am EST? · $2,735 to 2,739.99	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Nov 10, 10:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5am EST? · $2,730 to 2,734.99	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Nov 10, 10:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5am EST? · $2,725 to 2,729.99	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Nov 10, 10:00 UTC

Showing the 40 most traded of 390 open contracts.

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.