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Ethereum price Above/below on Kalshi
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI) before 5 AM EST is above 2844.99 at 5 AM EST on Nov 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: CF Benchmarks.
Market says (typical open contract)
52%
Median YES price across 390 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
96% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 52¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.68 | 53.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum price at Nov 13, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,240 or above | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 35% | 15,455 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 13, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,480 or above | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 8,984 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 13, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,160 or above | 29¢ | 29% | 1.4¢ | — | 58% | 8,841 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5am EST? · $2,105 or above | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 6,768 | Nov 10, 10:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,140 or above | 23¢ | 23% | 1.2¢ | — | 46% | 6,325 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,180 or above | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 5,205 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5am EST? · $2,100 or above | 57¢ | 57% | 1.7¢ | — | 85% | 4,649 | Nov 10, 10:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 13, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,280 or above | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 22% | 4,526 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5am EST? · $2,110 or above | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 4,189 | Nov 10, 10:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 13, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,320 or above | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 3,898 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5am EST? · $2,095 or above | 99¢ | 99% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 3,623 | Nov 10, 10:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 13, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,080 or above | 58¢ | 58% | 1.7¢ | — | 83% | 3,282 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,100 or above | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 3,248 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5am EST? · $2,115 or above | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,632 | Nov 10, 10:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 13, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,200 or above | 16¢ | 16% | 1.0¢ | — | 33% | 2,514 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 13, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,120 or above | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 2,110 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,060 or above | 80¢ | 80% | 1.1¢ | — | 39% | 2,082 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 13, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,400 or above | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 1,802 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 13, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $1,960 or above | 90¢ | 90% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 1,505 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,020 or above | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 1,335 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5am EST? · $2,090 or above | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,112 | Nov 10, 10:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,220 or above | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 1,031 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5am EST? · $2,125 or above | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 973 | Nov 10, 10:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 13, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,040 or above | 72¢ | 72% | 1.4¢ | — | 55% | 927 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5am EST? · $2,085 or above | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 839 | Nov 10, 10:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 13, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $1,800 or above | 98¢ | 98% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 705 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 13, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,440 or above | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 682 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 13, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,360 or above | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 496 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5am EST? · $2,120 or above | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 396 | Nov 10, 10:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5am EST? · $2,080 or above | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 366 | Nov 10, 10:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5am EST? · $2,130 or above | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 267 | Nov 10, 10:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 13, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $1,840 or above | 96¢ | 96% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 259 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 13, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,000 or above | 82¢ | 82% | 1.0¢ | — | 35% | 253 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5am EST? · $2,075 or above | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 251 | Nov 10, 10:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 13, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,520 or above | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 162 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 13, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $1,920 or above | 92¢ | 92% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 156 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 13, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $1,880 or above | 95¢ | 95% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 145 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5am EST? · $2,070 or above | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 97 | Nov 10, 10:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 13, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,600 or above | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 77 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 13, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $1,200 or above | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 33 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 390 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.