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EuroCup Basketball Total on Kalshi
If over 176.5 total points are scored in the CB 1939 Canarias vs BC Siauliai men's professional EuroCup basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 11, 2026 at 11:30 AM EST, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Eurocup.
Market says (typical open contract)
52%
Median YES price across 30 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
95% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 53¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.65 | 54.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 162.5 points scored · Over 162.5 points scored | 45¢ | 45% | 1.7¢ | — | 91% | 1,510 | Nov 12, 17:00 UTC |
| Over 169.5 points scored · Over 169.5 points scored | 54¢ | 54% | 1.7¢ | — | 91% | 1,032 | Nov 12, 17:00 UTC |
| Over 177.5 points scored · Over 177.5 points scored | 27¢ | 27% | 1.4¢ | — | 54% | 476 | Nov 12, 17:00 UTC |
| Over 169.5 points scored · Over 169.5 points scored | 62¢ | 62% | 1.7¢ | — | 77% | 170 | Nov 12, 19:00 UTC |
| Over 177.5 points scored · Over 177.5 points scored | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 84% | 124 | Nov 12, 19:00 UTC |
| Over 183.5 points scored · Over 183.5 points scored | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 87 | Nov 12, 17:00 UTC |
| Over 170.5 points scored · Over 170.5 points scored | 37¢ | 37% | 1.6¢ | — | 74% | 81 | Nov 12, 17:00 UTC |
| Over 191.5 points scored · Over 191.5 points scored | 26¢ | 26% | 1.4¢ | — | 53% | 75 | Nov 12, 17:00 UTC |
| Over 199.5 points scored · Over 199.5 points scored | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 51% | 70 | Nov 12, 17:00 UTC |
| Over 185.5 points scored · Over 185.5 points scored | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 13 | Nov 12, 17:00 UTC |
| Over 154.5 points scored · Over 154.5 points scored | 60¢ | 60% | 1.7¢ | — | 80% | 2 | Nov 12, 17:00 UTC |
| Over 176.5 points scored · Over 176.5 points scored | 29¢ | 29% | 1.4¢ | — | 58% | 0 | Nov 13, 16:30 UTC |
| Over 168.5 points scored · Over 168.5 points scored | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Nov 13, 16:30 UTC |
| Over 160.5 points scored · Over 160.5 points scored | 73¢ | 73% | 1.4¢ | — | 54% | 0 | Nov 13, 16:30 UTC |
| Over 168.5 points scored · Over 168.5 points scored | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 89% | 0 | Nov 13, 16:00 UTC |
| Over 160.5 points scored · Over 160.5 points scored | 66¢ | 66% | 1.6¢ | — | 67% | 0 | Nov 13, 16:00 UTC |
| Over 152.5 points scored · Over 152.5 points scored | 84¢ | 84% | 1.0¢ | — | 33% | 0 | Nov 13, 16:00 UTC |
| Over 168.5 points scored · Over 168.5 points scored | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 64% | 0 | Nov 12, 19:30 UTC |
| Over 160.5 points scored · Over 160.5 points scored | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 19:30 UTC |
| Over 152.5 points scored · Over 152.5 points scored | 72¢ | 72% | 1.4¢ | — | 55% | 0 | Nov 12, 19:30 UTC |
| Over 181.5 points scored · Over 181.5 points scored | 35¢ | 35% | 1.6¢ | — | 70% | 0 | Nov 12, 19:30 UTC |
| Over 173.5 points scored · Over 173.5 points scored | 56¢ | 56% | 1.7¢ | — | 88% | 0 | Nov 12, 19:30 UTC |
| Over 165.5 points scored · Over 165.5 points scored | 76¢ | 76% | 1.3¢ | — | 48% | 0 | Nov 12, 19:30 UTC |
| Over 166.5 points scored · Over 166.5 points scored | 38¢ | 38% | 1.7¢ | — | 77% | 0 | Nov 12, 19:00 UTC |
| Over 158.5 points scored · Over 158.5 points scored | 58¢ | 58% | 1.7¢ | — | 84% | 0 | Nov 12, 19:00 UTC |
| Over 150.5 points scored · Over 150.5 points scored | 76¢ | 76% | 1.3¢ | — | 47% | 0 | Nov 12, 19:00 UTC |
| Over 161.5 points scored · Over 161.5 points scored | 80¢ | 80% | 1.1¢ | — | 39% | 0 | Nov 12, 19:00 UTC |
| Over 177.5 points scored · Over 177.5 points scored | 47¢ | 47% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 0 | Nov 12, 18:30 UTC |
| Over 169.5 points scored · Over 169.5 points scored | 67¢ | 67% | 1.5¢ | — | 66% | 0 | Nov 12, 18:30 UTC |
| Over 161.5 points scored · Over 161.5 points scored | 84¢ | 84% | 0.9¢ | — | 32% | 0 | Nov 12, 18:30 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.