What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 22¢, about 1¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $2.73.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 23% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 22%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Entertainment

who will win eurovision asia on Kalshi

If Vietnam is officially declared the winner of Eurovision Song Contest Asia 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: MS Now, The Wall Street Journal, ABC, BBC, Bloomberg News, Voxovation (under license from the European Broadcasting Union (EBU)), NBC, CNN, Fox News, The Washington Post, Associated Press, European Broadcasting Union (EBU), Reuters, the New York Times, CBS, CNBC.

Market says (typical open contract)

22%

Median YES price across 11 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

44% 😈

Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
22¢ (now)	1.2¢	$2.73	23.2%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Laos win Eurovision Song Contest Asia 2026? · Laos	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	3,707	Jan 02, 15:00 UTC
Will Philippines win Eurovision Song Contest Asia 2026? · Philippines	29¢	29%	1.4¢	—	58%	1,499	Jan 02, 15:00 UTC
Will Thailand win Eurovision Song Contest Asia 2026? · Thailand	4¢	4%	0.3¢	—	9%	781	Jan 02, 15:00 UTC
Will Mongolia win Eurovision Song Contest Asia 2026? · Mongolia	8¢	8%	0.5¢	—	16%	171	Jan 02, 15:00 UTC
Will Vietnam win Eurovision Song Contest Asia 2026? · Vietnam	20¢	20%	1.1¢	—	40%	145	Jan 02, 15:00 UTC
Will Bhutan win Eurovision Song Contest Asia 2026? · Bhutan	22¢	22%	1.2¢	—	43%	76	Jan 02, 15:00 UTC
Will Malaysia win Eurovision Song Contest Asia 2026? · Malaysia	57¢	57%	1.7¢	—	85%	72	Jan 02, 15:00 UTC
Will Nepal win Eurovision Song Contest Asia 2026? · Nepal	22¢	22%	1.2¢	—	44%	61	Jan 02, 15:00 UTC
Will Republic of Korea win Eurovision Song Contest Asia 2026? · Republic of Korea	22¢	22%	1.2¢	—	44%	61	Jan 02, 15:00 UTC
Will Cambodia win Eurovision Song Contest Asia 2026? · Cambodia	26¢	26%	1.3¢	—	51%	61	Jan 02, 15:00 UTC
Will Bangladesh win Eurovision Song Contest Asia 2026? · Bangladesh	24¢	24%	1.3¢	—	49%	61	Jan 02, 15:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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