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Evolv technologies annual kpi on Kalshi
If Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. reports Above 280 new customers in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Fiscal.ai.
Market says (typical open contract)
61%
Median YES price across 5 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
78% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 61¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.37 | 62.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. report Above 280 new customers in fiscal 2026? · Above 280 | 23¢ | 23% | 1.2¢ | — | 46% | 61 | May 27, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. report Above 265 new customers in fiscal 2026? · Above 265 | 41¢ | 41% | 1.7¢ | — | 82% | 2 | May 27, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. report Above 250 new customers in fiscal 2026? · Above 250 | 61¢ | 61% | 1.7¢ | — | 78% | 0 | May 27, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. report Above 235 new customers in fiscal 2026? · Above 235 | 78¢ | 78% | 1.2¢ | — | 44% | 0 | May 27, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. report Above 220 new customers in fiscal 2026? · Above 220 | 90¢ | 90% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 0 | May 27, 05:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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