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FanDuel app downloads on Kalshi
If the Carbon Arc FanDuel app downloads (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 84 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Carbon Arc.
Market says (typical open contract)
58%
Median YES price across 8 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
83% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 58¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.47 | 59.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will FanDuel app downloads for November 2026 be above 84 ? · Above 84 | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 5,748 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Will FanDuel app downloads for November 2026 be above 65 ? · Above 65 | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 3,148 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Will FanDuel app downloads for November 2026 be above 28.5 ? · Above 28.5 | 90¢ | 90% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 1,410 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Will FanDuel app downloads for November 2026 be above 57.5 ? · Above 57.5 | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 60% | 1,210 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Will FanDuel app downloads for November 2026 be above 41.5 ? · Above 41.5 | 77¢ | 77% | 1.2¢ | — | 45% | 500 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Will FanDuel app downloads for November 2026 be above 36.5 ? · Above 36.5 | 76¢ | 76% | 1.3¢ | — | 48% | 88 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Will FanDuel app downloads for November 2026 be above 51.5 ? · Above 51.5 | 43¢ | 43% | 1.7¢ | — | 86% | 50 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Will FanDuel app downloads for November 2026 be above 46 ? · Above 46 | 58¢ | 58% | 1.7¢ | — | 83% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.