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FIBA Champions League Game on Kalshi
If UCAM Murcia wins the Brose Bamberg vs UCAM Murcia men's professional FIBA Champions League basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 11, 2026 at 2:30 PM EST, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Sofascore, Flashscore, FIBA Champions League.
Market says (typical open contract)
52%
Median YES price across 14 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
95% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 53¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.65 | 54.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasta Vechta wins · Rasta Vechta | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 280 | Nov 12, 17:30 UTC |
| Hapoel Holon BC wins · Hapoel Holon BC | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 162 | Nov 12, 17:30 UTC |
| BC Rytas Vilnius wins · BC Rytas Vilnius | 66¢ | 66% | 1.6¢ | — | 67% | 50 | Nov 13, 17:30 UTC |
| SK Slavia Prague wins · SK Slavia Prague | 70¢ | 70% | 1.5¢ | — | 60% | 13 | Nov 13, 17:00 UTC |
| Spartak Subotica wins · Spartak Subotica | 56¢ | 56% | 1.7¢ | — | 88% | 1 | Nov 12, 19:00 UTC |
| Trabzonspor Basketbol wins · Trabzonspor Basketbol | 68¢ | 68% | 1.5¢ | — | 63% | 1 | Nov 12, 16:00 UTC |
| UCAM Murcia wins · UCAM Murcia | 53¢ | 53% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 0 | Nov 13, 19:30 UTC |
| Brose Bamberg wins · Brose Bamberg | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 0 | Nov 13, 19:30 UTC |
| Nanterre 92 wins · Nanterre 92 | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 68% | 0 | Nov 13, 17:30 UTC |
| Igokea Aleksandrovac wins · Igokea Aleksandrovac | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 64% | 0 | Nov 13, 17:00 UTC |
| Cholet Basket wins · Cholet Basket | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 87% | 0 | Nov 12, 19:00 UTC |
| Bilbao Basket wins · Bilbao Basket | 70¢ | 70% | 1.5¢ | — | 59% | 0 | Nov 12, 19:00 UTC |
| Alba Berlin wins · Alba Berlin | 29¢ | 29% | 1.4¢ | — | 58% | 0 | Nov 12, 19:00 UTC |
| BK Sabah Baku wins · BK Sabah Baku | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 61% | 0 | Nov 12, 16:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.