What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 2¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.41.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 3% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 2%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Entertainment

Game Awards Best Game Direction on Kalshi

If Forza Horizon 6 has won Best Game Direction at the 2026 Game Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Game Awards.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 15 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

5% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
3¢ (now)	0.2¢	$3.40	3.2%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Saros win the 2026 Game Award for Best Game Direction? · Saros	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	6,604	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win the 2026 Game Award for Best Game Direction? · Grand Theft Auto VI	74¢	74%	1.4¢	—	53%	2,124	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Control Resonant win the 2026 Game Award for Best Game Direction? · Control Resonant	10¢	10%	0.6¢	—	20%	1,785	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Tie win the 2026 Game Award for Best Game Direction? · Tie	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	689	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Crimson Desert win the 2026 Game Award for Best Game Direction? · Crimson Desert	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	638	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Resident Evil Requiem win the 2026 Game Award for Best Game Direction? · Resident Evil Requiem	7¢	7%	0.5¢	—	14%	582	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Pragmata win the 2026 Game Award for Best Game Direction? · Pragmata	4¢	4%	0.3¢	—	9%	392	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Marvel's Wolverine win the 2026 Game Award for Best Game Direction? · Marvel's Wolverine	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	104	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Phantom Blade Zero win the 2026 Game Award for Best Game Direction? · Phantom Blade Zero	4¢	4%	0.3¢	—	8%	11	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Forza Horizon 6 win the 2026 Game Award for Best Game Direction? · Forza Horizon 6	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	0	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Onimusha: Way of the Sword win the 2026 Game Award for Best Game Direction? · Onimusha: Way of the Sword	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Big Walk win the 2026 Game Award for Best Game Direction? · Big Walk	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	0	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will 007 First Light win the 2026 Game Award for Best Game Direction? · 007 First Light	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Mewgenics win the 2026 Game Award for Best Game Direction? · Mewgenics	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will The Blood of Dawnwalker win the 2026 Game Award for Best Game Direction? · The Blood of Dawnwalker	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	6%	0	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.