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Will anyone be federally charged in connection with the 2020 election in Georgia? on Kalshi

If any individual in connection with the DOJ investigation into the 2020 election in Fulton County has been formally charged with any federal crime after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Bloomberg, ABC, Fox News, The Information, MSNBC, the U.S. Department of Justice, CBS, NBC, NPR, Reuters, Axios, BBC, The Washington Post, CNN, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, the Associated Press, the New York Times, Politico, Courthouse News Service.

Market says (typical open contract)
15%
Median YES price across 1 open contract, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
29% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
15¢ (now)0.9¢$2.9815.9%
30¢1.5¢$2.4531.5%
50¢1.8¢$1.7551.7%
70¢1.5¢$1.0571.5%
90¢0.6¢$0.3590.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Will any individual in connection with the DOJ investigation into the 2020 election in Fulton County be charged with a crime before Jan 1, 2027? · Before Jan 1, 202715¢15%0.9¢—29%11,252Jan 01, 04:59 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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