Markets › Kalshi › Financials
GBPUSD Weekly on Kalshi
If the value of the GBPUSD opening candlestick is Above 1.359 at 5pm ET on Nov 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Pyth - GBPUSD.
Market says (typical open contract)
64%
Median YES price across 20 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
71% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 65¢ (now) | 1.6¢ | $1.23 | 66.6% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will GBPUSD be Above 1.351 at 5pm ET on Nov 13? · Above 1.351 | 17¢ | 17% | 1.0¢ | — | 34% | 2 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Will GBPUSD be Above 1.349 at 5pm ET on Nov 13? · Above 1.349 | 23¢ | 23% | 1.2¢ | — | 46% | 2 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Will GBPUSD be Above 1.347 at 5pm ET on Nov 13? · Above 1.347 | 31¢ | 31% | 1.5¢ | — | 62% | 2 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Will GBPUSD be Above 1.359 at 5pm ET on Nov 13? · Above 1.359 | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Will GBPUSD be Above 1.357 at 5pm ET on Nov 13? · Above 1.357 | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 0 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Will GBPUSD be Above 1.355 at 5pm ET on Nov 13? · Above 1.355 | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 0 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Will GBPUSD be Above 1.353 at 5pm ET on Nov 13? · Above 1.353 | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 0 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Will GBPUSD be Above 1.345 at 5pm ET on Nov 13? · Above 1.345 | 39¢ | 39% | 1.7¢ | — | 78% | 0 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Will GBPUSD be Above 1.343 at 5pm ET on Nov 13? · Above 1.343 | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Will GBPUSD be Above 1.341 at 5pm ET on Nov 13? · Above 1.341 | 56¢ | 56% | 1.7¢ | — | 87% | 0 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Will GBPUSD be Above 1.339 at 5pm ET on Nov 13? · Above 1.339 | 64¢ | 64% | 1.6¢ | — | 71% | 0 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Will GBPUSD be Above 1.337 at 5pm ET on Nov 13? · Above 1.337 | 73¢ | 73% | 1.4¢ | — | 54% | 0 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Will GBPUSD be Above 1.335 at 5pm ET on Nov 13? · Above 1.335 | 80¢ | 80% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 0 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Will GBPUSD be Above 1.333 at 5pm ET on Nov 13? · Above 1.333 | 86¢ | 86% | 0.8¢ | — | 28% | 0 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Will GBPUSD be Above 1.331 at 5pm ET on Nov 13? · Above 1.331 | 90¢ | 90% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 0 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Will GBPUSD be Above 1.329 at 5pm ET on Nov 13? · Above 1.329 | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 0 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Will GBPUSD be Above 1.327 at 5pm ET on Nov 13? · Above 1.327 | 96¢ | 96% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Will GBPUSD be Above 1.325 at 5pm ET on Nov 13? · Above 1.325 | 96¢ | 96% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Will GBPUSD be Above 1.323 at 5pm ET on Nov 13? · Above 1.323 | 96¢ | 96% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Will GBPUSD be Above 1.321 at 5pm ET on Nov 13? · Above 1.321 | 97¢ | 97% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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