What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 68¢, about 2¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $1.14.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 69% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 68%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Elections

General election county winners on Kalshi

If Adam Hamilton wins the 2026 Kansas Senate general election in Shawnee County, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Cochise County Elections, Arizona Secretary of State, Yuma County Voter and Election Services, Maricopa County Elections, Pinal County Elections, Navajo County Elections.

Market says (typical open contract)

68%

Median YES price across 67 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

65% 😈

Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
68¢ (now)	1.5¢	$1.12	69.5%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will James Talarico win Tarrant County? · Tarrant	100¢	100%	0.0¢	—	1%	28,417	Nov 03, 14:00 UTC
Will James Talarico win Denton County? · Denton	100¢	100%	0.0¢	—	1%	26,195	Nov 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Angie Nixon win Miami-Dade County? · Miami-Dade	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	18,564	Nov 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Steve Hilton win Orange County? · Orange	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	17,616	Nov 03, 14:00 UTC
Will James Talarico win Collin County? · Collin	100¢	100%	0.0¢	—	1%	17,125	Nov 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Steve Hilton win Fresno County? · Fresno	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	14,570	Nov 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Kathy Hochul win Nassau County? · Nassau	92¢	92%	0.5¢	—	16%	12,449	Nov 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Oakland County? · Oakland	100¢	100%	0.0¢	—	1%	11,619	Nov 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Byron Donalds win Miami-Dade County? · Miami-Dade	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	11,510	Nov 03, 14:00 UTC
Will James Talarico win Bastrop County? · Bastrop	100¢	100%	0.0¢	—	1%	10,019	Nov 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Aaron Ford win Clark County? · Clark	98¢	98%	0.1¢	—	3%	9,996	Nov 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Kent County? · Kent	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	9,618	Nov 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Byron Donalds win St. Lucie County? · St. Lucie	5¢	5%	0.3¢	—	10%	9,595	Nov 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Genesee County? · Genesee	86¢	86%	0.9¢	—	29%	9,586	Nov 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Steve Hilton win San Luis Obispo County? · San Luis Obispo	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	9,558	Nov 03, 14:00 UTC
Will James Talarico win Bell County? · Bell	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	9,087	Nov 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Steve Hilton win San Bernardino County? · San Bernardino	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	9,031	Nov 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Aaron Ford win Washoe County? · Washoe	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	8,840	Nov 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Byron Donalds win Hillsborough County? · Hillsborough	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	8,297	Nov 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Katie Hobbs win Navajo County? · Navajo	50¢	50%	1.7¢	—	99%	8,140	Nov 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Katie Hobbs win Maricopa County? · Maricopa	100¢	100%	0.0¢	—	1%	8,028	Nov 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Kathy Hochul win Rensselaer County? · Rensselaer	80¢	80%	1.1¢	—	39%	7,729	Nov 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Steve Hilton win San Joaquin County? · San Joaquin	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	7,702	Nov 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Adam Hamilton win Lyon County? · Lyon	50¢	50%	1.7¢	—	99%	7,600	Nov 03, 14:00 UTC
Will James Talarico win Fort Bend County? · Fort Bend	100¢	100%	0.0¢	—	1%	7,480	Nov 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Byron Donalds win Pinellas County? · Pinellas	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	7,293	Nov 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Angie Nixon win Hillsborough County? · Hillsborough	76¢	76%	1.3¢	—	48%	7,233	Nov 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Byron Donalds win Palm Beach County? · Palm Beach	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	7,133	Nov 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Aaron Ford win Mineral County? · Mineral	12¢	12%	0.7¢	—	23%	7,065	Nov 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Grand Traverse County? · Grand Traverse	96¢	96%	0.3¢	—	9%	6,658	Nov 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Byron Donalds win Seminole County? · Seminole	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	6,428	Nov 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Adam Hamilton win Sedgwick County? · Sedgwick	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	6,374	Nov 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Byron Donalds win Osceola County? · Osceola	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	6,351	Nov 03, 14:00 UTC
Will James Talarico win Brazoria County? · Brazoria	100¢	100%	0.0¢	—	1%	6,055	Nov 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Steve Hilton win Riverside County? · Riverside	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	5,537	Nov 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Adam Hamilton win Johnson County? · Johnson	88¢	88%	0.8¢	—	25%	5,497	Nov 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Saginaw County? · Saginaw	94¢	94%	0.4¢	—	12%	5,289	Nov 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Katie Hobbs win Yuma County? · Yuma	86¢	86%	0.8¢	—	28%	5,280	Nov 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Angie Nixon win St. Lucie County? · St. Lucie	55¢	55%	1.7¢	—	90%	5,272	Nov 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Adam Hamilton win Riley County? · Riley	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	5,223	Nov 03, 14:00 UTC

Showing the 40 most traded of 67 open contracts.

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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