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will nominee win golden globe on Kalshi
If Emmy Rossum wins a Golden Globe for Best Actress in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Golden Globes.
Market says (typical open contract)
6%
Median YES price across 265 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
11% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6¢ (now) | 0.4¢ | $3.29 | 6.4% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Wild Horse Nine win a Golden Globe Award for Best Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards? · Wild Horse Nine | 55¢ | 55% | 1.7¢ | — | 90% | 25,825 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kate O’Flynn win a Golden Globe Award for Best Supporting Actress on TV at the 84th Golden Globe Awards? · Kate O’Flynn | 70¢ | 70% | 1.5¢ | — | 61% | 17,569 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will John Malkovich win a Golden Globe Award for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards? · John Malkovich | 76¢ | 76% | 1.3¢ | — | 48% | 17,415 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will La Bola Negra win a Golden Globe Award for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards? · La Bola Negra | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 43% | 14,000 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Julianne Moore win a Golden Globe Award for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards? · Julianne Moore | 68¢ | 68% | 1.5¢ | — | 63% | 12,875 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Virginie Efira win a Golden Globe Award for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards? · Virginie Efira | 27¢ | 27% | 1.4¢ | — | 54% | 11,795 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tom Cruise win a Golden Globe Award for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards? · Tom Cruise | 21¢ | 21% | 1.2¢ | — | 42% | 9,574 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Linda Cardellini win a Golden Globe Award for Best Supporting Actress on TV at the 84th Golden Globe Awards? · Linda Cardellini | 16¢ | 16% | 1.0¢ | — | 33% | 9,339 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Florence Pugh win a Golden Globe Award for Best Actress in a Limited Series at the 84th Golden Globe Awards? · Florence Pugh | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 7,975 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Elle Fanning win a Golden Globe Award for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards? · Elle Fanning | 38¢ | 38% | 1.6¢ | — | 75% | 7,916 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tie win a Golden Globe Award for Best Actress in a Limited Series at the 84th Golden Globe Awards? · Tie | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 7,488 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Wildwood win a Golden Globe Award for Best Motion Picture - Animated at the 84th Golden Globe Awards? · Wildwood | 89¢ | 89% | 0.7¢ | — | 22% | 7,330 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will The Debut win a Golden Globe Award for Best Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards? · The Debut | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 22% | 7,318 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will East of Eden win a Golden Globe Award for Best Television Series - Limited Series at the 84th Golden Globe Awards? · East of Eden | 43¢ | 43% | 1.7¢ | — | 86% | 7,200 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will David Harbour win a Golden Globe Award for Best Supporting Actor on TV at the 84th Golden Globe Awards? · David Harbour | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 6,900 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Wild Horse Nine win a Golden Globe Award for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards? · Wild Horse Nine | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 80% | 6,077 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will John Leguizamo win a Golden Globe Award for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards? · John Leguizamo | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 6,004 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will The Devil Wears Prada 2 win a Golden Globe Award for Best Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards? · The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 5,993 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Half Man win a Golden Globe Award for Best Television Series - Limited Series at the 84th Golden Globe Awards? · Half Man | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 5,810 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Edward Norton win a Golden Globe Award for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards? · Edward Norton | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 5,601 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Andrew Scott win a Golden Globe Award for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards? · Andrew Scott | 60¢ | 60% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 5,422 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Stephen Root win a Golden Globe Award for Best Supporting Actor on TV at the 84th Golden Globe Awards? · Stephen Root | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 45% | 5,294 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tao Okamoto win a Golden Globe Award for Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards? · Tao Okamoto | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 5,172 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Christopher Nolan win a Golden Globe Award for Best Director at the 84th Golden Globe Awards? · Christopher Nolan | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 4,769 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Matt Damon win a Golden Globe Award for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards? · Matt Damon | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 60% | 4,737 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will The Invite win a Golden Globe Award for Best Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards? · The Invite | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 4,628 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Anthony Ippolito win a Golden Globe Award for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards? · Anthony Ippolito | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 4,588 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Widow’s Bay win a Golden Globe Award for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards? · Widow’s Bay | 68¢ | 68% | 1.5¢ | — | 64% | 4,543 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Javier Bardem win a Golden Globe Award for Best Actor in a Limited Series at the 84th Golden Globe Awards? · Javier Bardem | 19¢ | 19% | 1.1¢ | — | 38% | 4,418 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jean Smart win a Golden Globe Award for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards? · Jean Smart | 54¢ | 54% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 3,965 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jaafar Jackson win a Golden Globe Award for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards? · Jaafar Jackson | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 3,671 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Paul Giamatti win a Golden Globe Award for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards? · Paul Giamatti | 38¢ | 38% | 1.7¢ | — | 77% | 3,563 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Seth Rogen win a Golden Globe Award for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards? · Seth Rogen | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 3,546 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Paradise win a Golden Globe Award for Best Television Series - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards? · Paradise | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 3,526 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will The Odyssey win a Golden Globe Award for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards? · The Odyssey | 71¢ | 71% | 1.4¢ | — | 58% | 3,516 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tie win a Golden Globe Award for Best Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards? · Tie | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 3,491 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Brad Pitt win a Golden Globe Award for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards? · Brad Pitt | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 3,409 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ryan Gosling win a Golden Globe Award for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards? · Ryan Gosling | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 3,385 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Joy Sunday win a Golden Globe Award for Best Supporting Actress on TV at the 84th Golden Globe Awards? · Joy Sunday | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 3,201 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Constance Zimmer win a Golden Globe Award for Best Supporting Actress on TV at the 84th Golden Globe Awards? · Constance Zimmer | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 3,165 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 265 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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