Markets › Kalshi › Entertainment
Grammy for Best New Artist on Kalshi
If Tie has won Best New Artist at the 69th Annual Grammy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Recording Academy.
Market says (typical open contract)
0%
Median YES price across 68 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
1% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ella Langley win Best New Artist at the Grammys? · Ella Langley | 68¢ | 68% | 1.5¢ | — | 65% | 20,599 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will SIENNA SPIRO win Best New Artist at the Grammys? · SIENNA SPIRO | 27¢ | 27% | 1.4¢ | — | 54% | 16,016 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Adéla win Best New Artist at the Grammys? · Adéla | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 11,521 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Geese win Best New Artist at the Grammys? · Geese | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 6,521 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Slayyyter win Best New Artist at the Grammys? · Slayyyter | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 5,216 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Megan Moroney win Best New Artist at the Grammys? · Megan Moroney | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 4,162 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Renee Rapp win Best New Artist at the Grammys? · Renee Rapp | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 3,064 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Cleo Sol win Best New Artist at the Grammys? · Cleo Sol | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,660 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Bella Kay win Best New Artist at the Grammys? · Bella Kay | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,563 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Dijon win Best New Artist at the Grammys? · Dijon | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,356 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Celeste win Best New Artist at the Grammys? · Celeste | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,107 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Absolutely win Best New Artist at the Grammys? · Absolutely | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,070 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will BigXthaPlug win Best New Artist at the Grammys? · BigXthaPlug | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,335 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Annahstasia win Best New Artist at the Grammys? · Annahstasia | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,094 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will The Beaches win Best New Artist at the Grammys? · The Beaches | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,088 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Wednesday win Best New Artist at the Grammys? · Wednesday | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 972 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Viagra Boys win Best New Artist at the Grammys? · Viagra Boys | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 972 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Skye Newman win Best New Artist at the Grammys? · Skye Newman | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 972 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Rochelle Jordan win Best New Artist at the Grammys? · Rochelle Jordan | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 972 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Nami win Best New Artist at the Grammys? · Nami | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 972 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ms Banks win Best New Artist at the Grammys? · Ms Banks | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 972 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Josh Levi win Best New Artist at the Grammys? · Josh Levi | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 972 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will H33RA win Best New Artist at the Grammys? · H33RA | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 972 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Danny L Harle win Best New Artist at the Grammys? · Danny L Harle | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 972 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will CMAT win Best New Artist at the Grammys? · CMAT | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 972 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Black Country, New Road win Best New Artist at the Grammys? · Black Country, New Road | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 928 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Bar Italia win Best New Artist at the Grammys? · Bar Italia | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 928 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Amber Mark win Best New Artist at the Grammys? · Amber Mark | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 928 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Sasha Keable win Best New Artist at the Grammys? · Sasha Keable | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 894 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Loe Shimmy win Best New Artist at the Grammys? · Loe Shimmy | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 868 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will The Last Dinner Party win Best New Artist at the Grammys? · The Last Dinner Party | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 859 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Sudan Archives win Best New Artist at the Grammys? · Sudan Archives | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 858 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Model/Actriz win Best New Artist at the Grammys? · Model/Actriz | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 855 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jessie Murph win Best New Artist at the Grammys? · Jessie Murph | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 836 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Yazmin Lacey win Best New Artist at the Grammys? · Yazmin Lacey | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 835 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Whitney win Best New Artist at the Grammys? · Whitney | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 835 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Thee Sacred Souls win Best New Artist at the Grammys? · Thee Sacred Souls | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 835 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Say Now win Best New Artist at the Grammys? · Say Now | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 835 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Sammy Virji win Best New Artist at the Grammys? · Sammy Virji | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 835 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will SAILORR win Best New Artist at the Grammys? · SAILORR | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 835 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 68 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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