What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 3¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.38.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 4% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 3%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Elections

Who will be the Prime Minister of Greece after their election? on Kalshi

If Zoe Konstantopoulou becomes Prime Minister of Greece as a result of government formation following the next Greek general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Jul 25, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: parliament or legislature of <country>, official government gazette or equivalent official publication of <country>, office of the head of state of <country>, major national news outlets of <country>, Financial Times, the Associated Press, official government websites of <country>, Reuters, The Guardian, BBC, The Washington Post, Bloomberg News, The New York Times.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 9 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

7% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
3¢ (now)	0.2¢	$3.40	3.2%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Zoe Konstantopoulou become Prime Minister of Greece following the next Greek general election? · Zoe Konstantopoulou	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	6%	2,413	Jul 25, 14:00 UTC
Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis become Prime Minister of Greece following the next Greek general election? · Kyriakos Mitsotakis	72¢	72%	1.4¢	—	57%	1,571	Jul 25, 14:00 UTC
Will Maria Karystianou become Prime Minister of Greece following the next Greek general election? · Maria Karystianou	4¢	4%	0.3¢	—	8%	1,500	Jul 25, 14:00 UTC
Will Kyriakos Pierrakakis become Prime Minister of Greece following the next Greek general election? · Kyriakos Pierrakakis	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	7%	1,500	Jul 25, 14:00 UTC
Will Kostis Hatzidakis become Prime Minister of Greece following the next Greek general election? · Kostis Hatzidakis	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	7%	1,500	Jul 25, 14:00 UTC
Will Nikos Dendias become Prime Minister of Greece following the next Greek general election? · Nikos Dendias	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	7%	1,000	Jul 25, 14:00 UTC
Will Nikos Androulakis become Prime Minister of Greece following the next Greek general election? · Nikos Androulakis	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	7%	1,000	Jul 25, 14:00 UTC
Will Kyriakos Velopoulos become Prime Minister of Greece following the next Greek general election? · Kyriakos Velopoulos	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	7%	1,000	Jul 25, 14:00 UTC
Will Alexis Tsipras become Prime Minister of Greece following the next Greek general election? · Alexis Tsipras	8¢	8%	0.5¢	—	17%	1,000	Jul 25, 14:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.