What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 18¢, about 1¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $2.89.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 19% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 18%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Entertainment

What songs will be on GTA 6? on Kalshi

If XO Tour Llif3 is playable on at least one in-game radio station in Grand Theft Auto VI at launch, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Kotaku, Rockstar Games.

Market says (typical open contract)

18%

Median YES price across 14 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

35% 😈

Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
17¢ (now)	1.0¢	$2.91	18.0%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch? · Sicko Mode	22¢	22%	1.2¢	—	43%	15,457	Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch? · Blinding Lights	39¢	39%	1.7¢	—	78%	15,013	Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch? · Pepas	74¢	74%	1.4¢	—	53%	13,452	Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch? · Bad and Boujee	28¢	28%	1.4¢	—	55%	9,492	Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch? · Despacito	13¢	13%	0.8¢	—	26%	7,055	Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch? · Mask Off	21¢	21%	1.2¢	—	42%	7,053	Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch? · Rockstar	18¢	18%	1.0¢	—	35%	6,201	Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch? · Look at Me!	16¢	16%	0.9¢	—	32%	5,218	Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch? · God’s Plan	19¢	19%	1.1¢	—	38%	4,230	Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch? · Mo Bamba	14¢	14%	0.8¢	—	27%	4,142	Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch? · As It Was	14¢	14%	0.8¢	—	28%	3,973	Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch? · Stay	16¢	16%	0.9¢	—	32%	2,514	Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch? · XO Tour Llif3	8¢	8%	0.5¢	—	17%	2,348	Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch? · Shape of You	12¢	12%	0.8¢	—	25%	2,213	Jan 01, 15:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.