Markets › Kalshi › Financials
GitLab annual kpi on Kalshi
If GitLab Inc. reports Above 1740 customers with arr over $100k in fiscal 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Fiscal.ai.
Market says (typical open contract)
78%
Median YES price across 6 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
44% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 78¢ (now) | 1.2¢ | $0.77 | 79.2% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will GitLab Inc. report Above 1740 customers with arr over $100k in fiscal 2027? · Above 1740 | 17¢ | 17% | 1.0¢ | — | 34% | 0 | May 31, 05:00 UTC |
| Will GitLab Inc. report Above 1720 customers with arr over $100k in fiscal 2027? · Above 1720 | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 72% | 0 | May 31, 05:00 UTC |
| Will GitLab Inc. report Above 1700 customers with arr over $100k in fiscal 2027? · Above 1700 | 59¢ | 59% | 1.7¢ | — | 82% | 0 | May 31, 05:00 UTC |
| Will GitLab Inc. report Above 1680 customers with arr over $100k in fiscal 2027? · Above 1680 | 78¢ | 78% | 1.2¢ | — | 44% | 0 | May 31, 05:00 UTC |
| Will GitLab Inc. report Above 1660 customers with arr over $100k in fiscal 2027? · Above 1660 | 91¢ | 91% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 0 | May 31, 05:00 UTC |
| Will GitLab Inc. report Above 1640 customers with arr over $100k in fiscal 2027? · Above 1640 | 96¢ | 96% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | May 31, 05:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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