Markets › Kalshi › Entertainment
who will headline event on Kalshi
If Weezer is a headliner at 2027 Minnesota Yacht Club Festival, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: official account of <person>, ABC, in hierarchical order, Fox News, Vogue, Rolling Stone, The Source Agencies are, MSNBC, BBC, Reuters, organizers of <event>, media partners of <event>, CNN, Billboard, NBC, the Associated Press, CBS, Variety, The New York Times, Bloomberg News.
Market says (typical open contract)
12%
Median YES price across 94 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
25% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12¢ (now) | 0.7¢ | $3.08 | 12.7% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Noah Kahan be a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027? · Noah Kahan | 74¢ | 74% | 1.4¢ | — | 53% | 42,965 | Dec 31, 04:59 UTC |
| Will The Strokes be a headliner at Boston Calling Music Festival 2027? · The Strokes | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 43% | 20,366 | Dec 31, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Billy Joel be a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027? · Billy Joel | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 18,774 | Dec 31, 04:59 UTC |
| Will The Revivalists be a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027? · The Revivalists | 38¢ | 38% | 1.7¢ | — | 77% | 18,068 | Dec 31, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Trombone Shorty & Orleans Avenue be a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027? · Trombone Shorty & Orleans Avenue | 88¢ | 88% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 16,496 | Dec 31, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Fall Out Boy be a headliner at Boston Calling Music Festival 2027? · Fall Out Boy | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 15,223 | Dec 31, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Bonnie Raitt be a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027? · Bonnie Raitt | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 43% | 15,047 | Dec 31, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Tyler Childers be a headliner at Boston Calling Music Festival 2027? · Tyler Childers | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 14,519 | Dec 31, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Big Freedia be a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027? · Big Freedia | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 51% | 13,544 | Dec 31, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Noah Kahan be a headliner at Boston Calling Music Festival 2027? · Noah Kahan | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 12,761 | Dec 31, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Leon Bridges be a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027? · Leon Bridges | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 45% | 11,812 | Dec 31, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Zach Bryan be a headliner at Boston Calling Music Festival 2027? · Zach Bryan | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 36% | 11,757 | Dec 31, 04:59 UTC |
| Will John Fogerty be a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027? · John Fogerty | 18¢ | 18% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 11,739 | Dec 31, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Paramore be a headliner at Boston Calling Music Festival 2027? · Paramore | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 11,334 | Dec 31, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Mumford & Sons be a headliner at 2027 Minnesota Yacht Club Festival? · Mumford & Sons | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 51% | 11,249 | Dec 31, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Jon Batiste be a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027? · Jon Batiste | 54¢ | 54% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 10,839 | Dec 31, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Bruce Springsteen be a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027? · Bruce Springsteen | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 35% | 10,700 | Dec 31, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Dave Matthews Band be a headliner at 2027 Minnesota Yacht Club Festival? · Dave Matthews Band | 16¢ | 16% | 1.0¢ | — | 33% | 10,570 | Dec 31, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Jack Harlow be a headliner at Boston Calling Music Festival 2027? · Jack Harlow | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 22% | 10,236 | Dec 31, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Boygenius be a headliner at Boston Calling Music Festival 2027? · Boygenius | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 9,710 | Dec 31, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Blink-182 be a headliner at Boston Calling Music Festival 2027? · Blink-182 | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 9,660 | Dec 31, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Bon Iver be a headliner at 2027 Minnesota Yacht Club Festival? · Bon Iver | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 45% | 9,339 | Dec 31, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Garth Brooks be a a headliner at Stagecoach 2027? · Garth Brooks | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 8,997 | Dec 31, 04:59 UTC |
| Will The Killers be a headliner at 2027 Minnesota Yacht Club Festival? · The Killers | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 27% | 8,808 | Dec 31, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Irma Thomas be a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027? · Irma Thomas | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 35% | 8,489 | Dec 31, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Paramore be a headliner at 2027 Minnesota Yacht Club Festival? · Paramore | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 8,470 | Dec 31, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Glass Animals be a headliner at Boston Calling Music Festival 2027? · Glass Animals | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 7,913 | Dec 31, 04:59 UTC |
| Will The Smashing Pumpkins be a headliner at 2027 Minnesota Yacht Club Festival? · The Smashing Pumpkins | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 27% | 7,900 | Dec 31, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Vampire Weekend be a headliner at Boston Calling Music Festival 2027? · Vampire Weekend | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 35% | 7,669 | Dec 31, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Post Malone be a headliner at Boston Calling Music Festival 2027? · Post Malone | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 35% | 7,329 | Dec 31, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Marcus King be a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027? · Marcus King | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 35% | 7,279 | Dec 31, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Neil Young be a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027? · Neil Young | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 29% | 7,186 | Dec 31, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Lana Del Rey be a headliner at Boston Calling Music Festival 2027? · Lana Del Rey | 16¢ | 16% | 1.0¢ | — | 33% | 6,948 | Dec 31, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Sabrina Carpenter be a headliner at Boston Calling Music Festival 2027? · Sabrina Carpenter | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 6,074 | Dec 31, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Lana Del Rey be a headliner at 2027 Minnesota Yacht Club Festival? · Lana Del Rey | 16¢ | 16% | 1.0¢ | — | 33% | 5,909 | Dec 31, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Arctic Monkeys be a headliner at 2027 Minnesota Yacht Club Festival? · Arctic Monkeys | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 43% | 5,902 | Dec 31, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Gary Clark Jr. be a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027? · Gary Clark Jr. | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 43% | 5,615 | Dec 31, 04:59 UTC |
| Will The Lumineers be a headliner at Boston Calling Music Festival 2027? · The Lumineers | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 29% | 5,314 | Dec 31, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Kendrick Lamar be a headliner at Boston Calling Music Festival 2027? · Kendrick Lamar | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 5,141 | Dec 31, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Hozier be a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027? · Hozier | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 29% | 5,129 | Dec 31, 04:59 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 94 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.