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Heisman Finalists on Kalshi
If DeSean Bishop is selected as a finalist for the Heisman Trophy in the 2026 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA.
Market says (typical open contract)
8%
Median YES price across 35 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
15% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7¢ (now) | 0.5¢ | $3.25 | 7.5% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Malachi Toney be selected as a finalist for the 2026 Heisman Trophy? · Malachi Toney | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 12,321 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jeremiah Smith be selected as a finalist for the 2026 Heisman Trophy? · Jeremiah Smith | 72¢ | 72% | 1.4¢ | — | 57% | 9,652 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will CJ Carr be selected as a finalist for the 2026 Heisman Trophy? · CJ Carr | 85¢ | 85% | 0.9¢ | — | 30% | 7,903 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Drew Mestemaker be selected as a finalist for the 2026 Heisman Trophy? · Drew Mestemaker | 33¢ | 33% | 1.5¢ | — | 66% | 6,645 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jadan Baugh be selected as a finalist for the 2026 Heisman Trophy? · Jadan Baugh | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 5,440 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Keelon Russell be selected as a finalist for the 2026 Heisman Trophy? · Keelon Russell | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 73% | 5,305 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Arch Manning be selected as a finalist for the 2026 Heisman Trophy? · Arch Manning | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 5,024 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Trinidad Chambliss be selected as a finalist for the 2026 Heisman Trophy? · Trinidad Chambliss | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 35% | 4,254 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jesse Legree be selected as a finalist for the 2026 Heisman Trophy? · Jesse Legree | 13¢ | 13% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 3,743 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Julian Sayin be selected as a finalist for the 2026 Heisman Trophy? · Julian Sayin | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 2,722 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will LaNorris Sellers be selected as a finalist for the 2026 Heisman Trophy? · LaNorris Sellers | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 47% | 2,637 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ahmad Hardy be selected as a finalist for the 2026 Heisman Trophy? · Ahmad Hardy | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 2,310 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kevin Jennings be selected as a finalist for the 2026 Heisman Trophy? · Kevin Jennings | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 1,978 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Marcel Reed be selected as a finalist for the 2026 Heisman Trophy? · Marcel Reed | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 1,482 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Josh Hoover be selected as a finalist for the 2026 Heisman Trophy? · Josh Hoover | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 1,446 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Devon Dampier be selected as a finalist for the 2026 Heisman Trophy? · Devon Dampier | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 88% | 1,282 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Gunner Stockton be selected as a finalist for the 2026 Heisman Trophy? · Gunner Stockton | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 52% | 1,209 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Rocco Becht be selected as a finalist for the 2026 Heisman Trophy? · Rocco Becht | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,113 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Dante Moore be selected as a finalist for the 2026 Heisman Trophy? · Dante Moore | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 1,033 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Sam Leavitt be selected as a finalist for the 2026 Heisman Trophy? · Sam Leavitt | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 975 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jayden Maiava be selected as a finalist for the 2026 Heisman Trophy? · Jayden Maiava | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 35% | 785 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Bryce Underwood be selected as a finalist for the 2026 Heisman Trophy? · Bryce Underwood | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 652 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will John Mateer be selected as a finalist for the 2026 Heisman Trophy? · John Mateer | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 497 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kewan Lacy be selected as a finalist for the 2026 Heisman Trophy? · Kewan Lacy | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 193 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will DeSean Bishop be selected as a finalist for the 2026 Heisman Trophy? · DeSean Bishop | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 27% | 140 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Byrum Brown be selected as a finalist for the 2026 Heisman Trophy? · Byrum Brown | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 102 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Bo Jackson be selected as a finalist for the 2026 Heisman Trophy? · Bo Jackson | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 45% | 48 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will DJ Lagway be selected as a finalist for the 2026 Heisman Trophy? · DJ Lagway | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 32 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele be selected as a finalist for the 2026 Heisman Trophy? · Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele | 23¢ | 23% | 1.2¢ | — | 46% | 20 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Darian Mensah be selected as a finalist for the 2026 Heisman Trophy? · Darian Mensah | 78¢ | 78% | 1.2¢ | — | 43% | 10 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Aaron Philo be selected as a finalist for the 2026 Heisman Trophy? · Aaron Philo | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 8 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Demond Williams Jr. be selected as a finalist for the 2026 Heisman Trophy? · Demond Williams Jr. | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 45% | 2 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Austin Mack be selected as a finalist for the 2026 Heisman Trophy? · Austin Mack | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 1 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Gio Lopez be selected as a finalist for the 2026 Heisman Trophy? · Gio Lopez | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 28% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Will Hammond be selected as a finalist for the 2026 Heisman Trophy? · Will Hammond | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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