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Hershey's Point of Sale Growth on Kalshi
If the Carbon Arc Hershey's Point of Sale Growth (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 97.5, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Carbon Arc.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 7 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
99% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 51¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.72 | 52.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hershey's Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 97.5? · Above 97.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Hershey's Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 95? · Above 95 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Hershey's Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 92.5? · Above 92.5 | 51¢ | 51% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 0 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Hershey's Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 90? · Above 90 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Hershey's Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 105? · Above 105 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Hershey's Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 102.5? · Above 102.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Hershey's Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 100? · Above 100 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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