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Robinhood KPi on Kalshi
If Robinhood Markets Inc. reports Above 4000000 gold subscribers in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Fiscal.ai.
Market says (typical open contract)
15%
Median YES price across 46 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
30% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15¢ (now) | 0.9¢ | $2.98 | 15.9% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 30.2 million funded customers in 2026? · Above 30.2 million | 13¢ | 13% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 25,286 | Mar 31, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above $80 billion event contracts total trading volume in fiscal 2026? · Above $80 billion | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 19,576 | May 12, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above $75 billion event contracts total trading volume in fiscal 2026? · Above $75 billion | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 19,525 | May 12, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above $65 billion event contracts total trading volume in fiscal 2026? · Above $65 billion | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 19,329 | May 12, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 30 million funded customers in 2026? · Above 30 million | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 30% | 17,510 | Mar 31, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above $70 billion event contracts total trading volume in fiscal 2026? · Above $70 billion | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 17,507 | May 12, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above $90 billion event contracts total trading volume in fiscal 2026? · Above $90 billion | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 17,280 | May 12, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 28.2 million funded customers in 2026? · Above 28.2 million | 98¢ | 98% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 16,752 | Mar 31, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 29.8 million funded customers in 2026? · Above 29.8 million | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 43% | 16,694 | Mar 31, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 28.4 million funded customers in 2026? · Above 28.4 million | 98¢ | 98% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 16,099 | Mar 31, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above $60 billion event contracts total trading volume in fiscal 2026? · Above $60 billion | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 91% | 15,924 | May 12, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above $50 billion event contracts total trading volume in fiscal 2026? · Above $50 billion | 98¢ | 98% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 15,897 | May 12, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above $55 billion event contracts total trading volume in fiscal 2026? · Above $55 billion | 80¢ | 80% | 1.1¢ | — | 39% | 14,115 | May 12, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 29 million funded customers in 2026? · Above 29 million | 80¢ | 80% | 1.1¢ | — | 41% | 13,850 | Mar 31, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 29.6 million funded customers in 2026? · Above 29.6 million | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 64% | 11,838 | Mar 31, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 28 million funded customers in 2026? · Above 28 million | 99¢ | 99% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 11,434 | Mar 31, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 28.8 million funded customers in 2026? · Above 28.8 million | 96¢ | 96% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 11,285 | Mar 31, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 28.6 million funded customers in 2026? · Above 28.6 million | 96¢ | 96% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 11,013 | Mar 31, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report above 31 million funded customers in 2026? · Above 31 million | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 22% | 10,932 | Mar 31, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 29.4 million funded customers in 2026? · Above 29.4 million | 38¢ | 38% | 1.6¢ | — | 76% | 10,830 | Mar 31, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report above 32 million funded customers in 2026? · Above 32 million | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 10,230 | Mar 31, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above $100 billion event contracts total trading volume in fiscal 2026? · Above $100 billion | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 10,207 | May 12, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above $95 billion event contracts total trading volume in fiscal 2026? · Above $95 billion | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 8,808 | May 12, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report above 33 million funded customers in 2026? · Above 33 million | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 8,209 | Mar 31, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above $85 billion event contracts total trading volume in fiscal 2026? · Above $85 billion | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 7,752 | May 12, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 29.2 million funded customers in 2026? · Above 29.2 million | 62¢ | 62% | 1.6¢ | — | 75% | 7,526 | Mar 31, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report above 35 million funded customers in fiscal 2026? · Above 35 million | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 7,068 | Mar 31, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report above 36 million funded customers in fiscal 2026? · Above 36 million | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 6,039 | Mar 31, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report above 34 million funded customers in 2026? · Above 34 million | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 5,707 | Mar 31, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 5.2 million gold subscribers in fiscal 2026? · Above 5.2 million | 85¢ | 85% | 0.9¢ | — | 30% | 2,294 | May 12, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 5.4 million gold subscribers in fiscal 2026? · Above 5.4 million | 70¢ | 70% | 1.5¢ | — | 60% | 1,593 | May 12, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 36.2 million funded customers in fiscal 2026? · Above 36.2 million | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 1,055 | Mar 31, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 6.2 million gold subscribers in fiscal 2026? · Above 6.2 million | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 985 | May 12, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 4.8 million gold subscribers in fiscal 2026? · Above 4.8 million | 96¢ | 96% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 972 | May 12, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 5 million gold subscribers in fiscal 2026? · Above 5 million | 92¢ | 92% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 946 | May 12, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 36.4 million funded customers in fiscal 2026? · Above 36.4 million | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 725 | Mar 31, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 5.6 million gold subscribers in fiscal 2026? · Above 5.6 million | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 72% | 526 | May 12, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 6.6 million gold subscribers in fiscal 2026? · Above 6.6 million | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 366 | May 12, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 6.4 million gold subscribers in fiscal 2026? · Above 6.4 million | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 274 | May 12, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 5.8 million gold subscribers in fiscal 2026? · Above 5.8 million | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 30% | 259 | May 12, 05:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 46 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.