What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 3¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.40.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 3% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 3%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Politics

Who will the House impeach first? on Kalshi

If Todd Blanche is the first of the officials named in this event to be impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: ABC, The Wall Street Journal, The Guardian, The Information, CBS, South China Morning Post, NBC, BBC, The Washington Post, Axios, CNN, Fox News, Reuters, ABC News Australia, Semafor, Politico, MSNBC, Bloomberg News, the Associated Press, CBC, the New York Times.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 7 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

6% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
3¢ (now)	0.2¢	$3.40	3.2%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Pete Hegseth is the first of the officials named in this event to be impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives before Jan 1, 2028? · Pete Hegseth	85¢	85%	0.9¢	—	30%	11,209	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that none of the officials named in this event is impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives before Jan 1, 2028? · None of these	11¢	11%	0.7¢	—	21%	2,554	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Donald Trump is the first of the officials named in this event to be impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives before Jan 1, 2028? · Donald Trump	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	2,398	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Todd Blanche is the first of the officials named in this event to be impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives before Jan 1, 2028? · Todd Blanche	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	6%	771	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is the first of the officials named in this event to be impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives before Jan 1, 2028? · Robert F. Kennedy Jr.	4¢	4%	0.2¢	—	7%	428	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Howard Lutnick is the first of the officials named in this event to be impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives before Jan 1, 2028? · Howard Lutnick	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	392	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that JD Vance is the first of the officials named in this event to be impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives before Jan 1, 2028? · JD Vance	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	293	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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