What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 3¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.40.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 3% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 3%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Elections

Who will be the Prime Minister of India after their election? on Kalshi

If Yogi Adityanath becomes Prime Minister of India as a result of government formation following the next Indian general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Apr 30, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: parliament or legislature of <country>, official government gazette or equivalent official publication of <country>, office of the head of state of <country>, major national news outlets of <country>, Financial Times, the Associated Press, official government websites of <country>, Reuters, The Guardian, BBC, The Washington Post, Bloomberg News, The New York Times.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 9 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

6% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
3¢ (now)	0.2¢	$3.40	3.2%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Rahul Gandhi become Prime Minister of India following the next Indian general election? · Rahul Gandhi	34¢	34%	1.6¢	—	69%	8,987	Apr 30, 14:00 UTC
Will Akhilesh Yadav become Prime Minister of India following the next Indian general election? · Akhilesh Yadav	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	5,375	Apr 30, 14:00 UTC
Will Amit Shah become Prime Minister of India following the next Indian general election? · Amit Shah	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	4,737	Apr 30, 14:00 UTC
Will Narendra Modi become Prime Minister of India following the next Indian general election? · Narendra Modi	28¢	28%	1.4¢	—	56%	4,421	Apr 30, 14:00 UTC
Will Yogi Adityanath become Prime Minister of India following the next Indian general election? · Yogi Adityanath	15¢	15%	0.9¢	—	29%	3,894	Apr 30, 14:00 UTC
Will Priyanka Gandhi Vadra become Prime Minister of India following the next Indian general election? · Priyanka Gandhi Vadra	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	2,576	Apr 30, 14:00 UTC
Will N. Chandrababu Naidu become Prime Minister of India following the next Indian general election? · N. Chandrababu Naidu	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	2,343	Apr 30, 14:00 UTC
Will Nitin Gadkari become Prime Minister of India following the next Indian general election? · Nitin Gadkari	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	7%	1,426	Apr 30, 14:00 UTC
Will Devendra Fadnavis become Prime Minister of India following the next Indian general election? · Devendra Fadnavis	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	6%	1,196	Apr 30, 14:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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