Markets › Kalshi › Financials
S&P 500 range on Kalshi
If the end-of-day S&P 500 index value on November 10, 2026 is above 7724.9999, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: For example, Google Finance.
Market says (typical open contract)
6%
Median YES price across 60 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
12% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6¢ (now) | 0.4¢ | $3.29 | 6.4% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the S&P 500 be between 7300 and 7324.9999 on Nov 13, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 7,300 to 7,324.9999 | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 35 | Nov 13, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the S&P 500 be between 7275 and 7299.9999 on Nov 13, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 7,275 to 7,299.9999 | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 35 | Nov 13, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the S&P 500 be between 7250 and 7274.9999 on Nov 13, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 7,250 to 7,274.9999 | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 35 | Nov 13, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the S&P 500 be between 7650 and 7674.9999 on Nov 13, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 7,650 to 7,674.9999 | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 29 | Nov 13, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the S&P 500 be between 7225 and 7249.9999 on Nov 13, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 7,225 to 7,249.9999 | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 9 | Nov 13, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the S&P 500 be between 7600 and 7624.9999 on Nov 10, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 7,600 to 7,624.9999 | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 5 | Nov 10, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the S&P 500 be above 7724.9999 on Nov 10, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 7,725 or above | 10¢ | 10% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 0 | Nov 10, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the S&P 500 be below 7025 on Nov 10, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 7,024.9999 or below | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 10, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the S&P 500 be between 7700 and 7724.9999 on Nov 10, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 7,700 to 7,724.9999 | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 0 | Nov 10, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the S&P 500 be between 7675 and 7699.9999 on Nov 10, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 7,675 to 7,699.9999 | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 0 | Nov 10, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the S&P 500 be between 7650 and 7674.9999 on Nov 10, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 7,650 to 7,674.9999 | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 0 | Nov 10, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the S&P 500 be between 7625 and 7649.9999 on Nov 10, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 7,625 to 7,649.9999 | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 0 | Nov 10, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the S&P 500 be between 7575 and 7599.9999 on Nov 10, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 7,575 to 7,599.9999 | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 28% | 0 | Nov 10, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the S&P 500 be between 7550 and 7574.9999 on Nov 10, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 7,550 to 7,574.9999 | 16¢ | 16% | 0.9¢ | — | 31% | 0 | Nov 10, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the S&P 500 be between 7525 and 7549.9999 on Nov 10, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 7,525 to 7,549.9999 | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 28% | 0 | Nov 10, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the S&P 500 be between 7500 and 7524.9999 on Nov 10, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 7,500 to 7,524.9999 | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 0 | Nov 10, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the S&P 500 be between 7475 and 7499.9999 on Nov 10, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 7,475 to 7,499.9999 | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 22% | 0 | Nov 10, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the S&P 500 be between 7450 and 7474.9999 on Nov 10, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 7,450 to 7,474.9999 | 9¢ | 9% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 0 | Nov 10, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the S&P 500 be between 7425 and 7449.9999 on Nov 10, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 7,425 to 7,449.9999 | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 0 | Nov 10, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the S&P 500 be between 7400 and 7424.9999 on Nov 10, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 7,400 to 7,424.9999 | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 0 | Nov 10, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the S&P 500 be between 7375 and 7399.9999 on Nov 10, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 7,375 to 7,399.9999 | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 0 | Nov 10, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the S&P 500 be between 7350 and 7374.9999 on Nov 10, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 7,350 to 7,374.9999 | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 0 | Nov 10, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the S&P 500 be between 7325 and 7349.9999 on Nov 10, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 7,325 to 7,349.9999 | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 0 | Nov 10, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the S&P 500 be between 7300 and 7324.9999 on Nov 10, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 7,300 to 7,324.9999 | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 10, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the S&P 500 be between 7275 and 7299.9999 on Nov 10, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 7,275 to 7,299.9999 | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 10, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the S&P 500 be between 7250 and 7274.9999 on Nov 10, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 7,250 to 7,274.9999 | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 10, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the S&P 500 be between 7225 and 7249.9999 on Nov 10, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 7,225 to 7,249.9999 | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 10, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the S&P 500 be between 7200 and 7224.9999 on Nov 10, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 7,200 to 7,224.9999 | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 10, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the S&P 500 be between 7175 and 7199.9999 on Nov 10, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 7,175 to 7,199.9999 | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 10, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the S&P 500 be between 7150 and 7174.9999 on Nov 10, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 7,150 to 7,174.9999 | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 10, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the S&P 500 be between 7125 and 7149.9999 on Nov 10, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 7,125 to 7,149.9999 | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 10, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the S&P 500 be between 7100 and 7124.9999 on Nov 10, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 7,100 to 7,124.9999 | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 10, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the S&P 500 be between 7075 and 7099.9999 on Nov 10, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 7,075 to 7,099.9999 | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 10, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the S&P 500 be between 7050 and 7074.9999 on Nov 10, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 7,050 to 7,074.9999 | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 10, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the S&P 500 be between 7025 and 7049.9999 on Nov 10, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 7,025 to 7,049.9999 | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 10, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the S&P 500 be above 7699.9999 on Nov 13, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 7,700 or above | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 0 | Nov 13, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the S&P 500 be below 7000 on Nov 13, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 6,999.9999 or below | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Nov 13, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the S&P 500 be between 7675 and 7699.9999 on Nov 13, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 7,675 to 7,699.9999 | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 0 | Nov 13, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the S&P 500 be between 7625 and 7649.9999 on Nov 13, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 7,625 to 7,649.9999 | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 0 | Nov 13, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the S&P 500 be between 7600 and 7624.9999 on Nov 13, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 7,600 to 7,624.9999 | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 0 | Nov 13, 21:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 60 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.