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Israeli Super League Champion on Kalshi
If Maccabi Rishon LeZion wins the Israeli Super League championship in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, Basketball24, Flashscore, Sofascore, Israel Basketball Super League, Flashscore.
Market says (typical open contract)
4%
Median YES price across 14 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
7% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4¢ (now) | 0.3¢ | $3.36 | 4.3% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israeli Super League Champion: Maccabi Tel-Aviv · Maccabi Tel-Aviv | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 66 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Israeli Super League Champion: Hapoel Tel-Aviv · Hapoel Tel-Aviv | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 69% | 12 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Israeli Super League Champion: Maccabi Rishon LeZion · Maccabi Rishon LeZion | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Israeli Super League Champion: Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan · Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Israeli Super League Champion: Ironi Ness Ziona · Ironi Ness Ziona | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Israeli Super League Champion: Hapoel Galil Elyon · Hapoel Galil Elyon | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Israeli Super League Champion: Hapoel Haemek · Hapoel Haemek | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Israeli Super League Champion: Hapoel Jerusalem · Hapoel Jerusalem | 16¢ | 16% | 0.9¢ | — | 32% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Israeli Super League Champion: Hapoel Holon BC · Hapoel Holon BC | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Israeli Super League Champion: Hapoel Beer Sheva · Hapoel Beer Sheva | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Israeli Super League Champion: Ironi Kiryat ATA · Ironi Kiryat ATA | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Israeli Super League Champion: Hapoel Eilat · Hapoel Eilat | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Israeli Super League Champion: Bnei Herzliya Basket · Bnei Herzliya Basket | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Israeli Super League Champion: Maccabi Ashdod · Maccabi Ashdod | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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