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Japan B League Game on Kalshi
If Nagoya Diamond Dolphins wins the Nagoya Diamond Dolphins vs Akita Northern Happinets men's professional Japan B League basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 13, 2026 at 5:30 AM EST, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Sofascore, Flashscore.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 36 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
100% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ (now) | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiba Jets Funabashi wins · Chiba Jets Funabashi | 92¢ | 92% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 2,925 | Nov 12, 10:05 UTC |
| Osaka Evessa wins · Osaka Evessa | 9¢ | 9% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 2,877 | Nov 12, 10:05 UTC |
| Shinshu Brave Warriors wins · Shinshu Brave Warriors | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 43% | 1,289 | Nov 12, 10:05 UTC |
| Sun Rockers Shibuya wins · Sun Rockers Shibuya | 86¢ | 86% | 0.9¢ | — | 29% | 674 | Nov 12, 10:05 UTC |
| Seahorses Mikawa wins · Seahorses Mikawa | 78¢ | 78% | 1.2¢ | — | 43% | 658 | Nov 12, 10:05 UTC |
| Kobe Storks wins · Kobe Storks | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 29% | 617 | Nov 12, 10:05 UTC |
| Nagoya Diamond Dolphins wins · Nagoya Diamond Dolphins | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 15, 10:30 UTC |
| Akita Northern Happinets wins · Akita Northern Happinets | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 15, 10:30 UTC |
| Ibaraki Robots wins · Ibaraki Robots | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 15, 10:15 UTC |
| Kyoto Hannaryz wins · Kyoto Hannaryz | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 15, 10:15 UTC |
| Levanga Hokkaido wins · Levanga Hokkaido | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 15, 10:05 UTC |
| Kobe Storks wins · Kobe Storks | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 15, 10:05 UTC |
| Shimane Susanoo Magic wins · Shimane Susanoo Magic | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 15, 10:05 UTC |
| Sendai 89Ers wins · Sendai 89Ers | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 15, 10:05 UTC |
| Saga Ballooners wins · Saga Ballooners | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 15, 10:05 UTC |
| Kawasaki Brave Thunders wins · Kawasaki Brave Thunders | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 15, 10:05 UTC |
| Shinshu Brave Warriors wins · Shinshu Brave Warriors | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 15, 04:05 UTC |
| Gunma Crane Thunders wins · Gunma Crane Thunders | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 15, 04:05 UTC |
| Yokohama B-Corsairs wins · Yokohama B-Corsairs | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 10:05 UTC |
| Altiri Chiba wins · Altiri Chiba | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 10:05 UTC |
| Shiga Lakestars wins · Shiga Lakestars | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 14, 10:05 UTC |
| Chiba Jets Funabashi wins · Chiba Jets Funabashi | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 14, 10:05 UTC |
| Toyama Grouses wins · Toyama Grouses | 51¢ | 51% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 0 | Nov 14, 10:05 UTC |
| Osaka Evessa wins · Osaka Evessa | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 0 | Nov 14, 10:05 UTC |
| Ibaraki Robots wins · Ibaraki Robots | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 13, 10:05 UTC |
| Akita Northern Happinets wins · Akita Northern Happinets | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 13, 10:05 UTC |
| Sendai 89Ers wins · Sendai 89Ers | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 13, 10:05 UTC |
| Hiroshima Dragonflies wins · Hiroshima Dragonflies | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 13, 10:05 UTC |
| San-En Neophoenix wins · San-En Neophoenix | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 13, 10:05 UTC |
| Levanga Hokkaido wins · Levanga Hokkaido | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 13, 10:05 UTC |
| Nagasaki Velca wins · Nagasaki Velca | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 13, 10:05 UTC |
| Alvark Tokyo wins · Alvark Tokyo | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 13, 10:05 UTC |
| Shimane Susanoo Magic wins · Shimane Susanoo Magic | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 13, 10:05 UTC |
| Kawasaki Brave Thunders wins · Kawasaki Brave Thunders | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 13, 10:05 UTC |
| Kyoto Hannaryz wins · Kyoto Hannaryz | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 13, 10:05 UTC |
| Utsunomiya Brex wins · Utsunomiya Brex | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 13, 10:05 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.