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JetBlue Airways KPI on Kalshi
If JetBlue Airways Corporation reports Above 280 average fare (USD) in Q4 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Fiscal.ai.
Market says (typical open contract)
27%
Median YES price across 18 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
54% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27¢ (now) | 1.4¢ | $2.56 | 28.4% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JetBlue Airways Corporation report Above $260 average fare (USD) in Q4 2026? · Above $260 | 27¢ | 27% | 1.4¢ | — | 54% | 105 | May 26, 14:00 UTC |
| Will JetBlue Airways Corporation report Above $250 average fare (USD) in Q4 2026? · Above $250 | 65¢ | 65% | 1.6¢ | — | 70% | 105 | May 26, 14:00 UTC |
| Will JetBlue Airways Corporation report Above $280 average fare (USD) in Q4 2026? · Above $280 | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | May 26, 14:00 UTC |
| Will JetBlue Airways Corporation report Above $270 average fare (USD) in Q4 2026? · Above $270 | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 0 | May 26, 14:00 UTC |
| Will JetBlue Airways Corporation report Above $240 average fare (USD) in Q4 2026? · Above $240 | 89¢ | 89% | 0.7¢ | — | 22% | 0 | May 26, 14:00 UTC |
| Will JetBlue Airways Corporation report Above $230 average fare (USD) in Q4 2026? · Above $230 | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 0 | May 26, 14:00 UTC |
| Will JetBlue Airways Corporation report Above $220 average fare (USD) in Q4 2026? · Above $220 | 96¢ | 96% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | May 26, 14:00 UTC |
| Will JetBlue Airways Corporation report Above $210 average fare (USD) in Q4 2026? · Above $210 | 96¢ | 96% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 0 | May 26, 14:00 UTC |
| Will JetBlue Airways Corporation report Above 87% load factor in Q4 2026? · Above 87% | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | May 26, 14:00 UTC |
| Will JetBlue Airways Corporation report Above 86% load factor in Q4 2026? · Above 86% | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | May 26, 14:00 UTC |
| Will JetBlue Airways Corporation report Above 85% load factor in Q4 2026? · Above 85% | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | May 26, 14:00 UTC |
| Will JetBlue Airways Corporation report Above 84% load factor in Q4 2026? · Above 84% | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | May 26, 14:00 UTC |
| Will JetBlue Airways Corporation report Above 83% load factor in Q4 2026? · Above 83% | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | May 26, 14:00 UTC |
| Will JetBlue Airways Corporation report Above 82% load factor in Q4 2026? · Above 82% | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 0 | May 26, 14:00 UTC |
| Will JetBlue Airways Corporation report Above 81% load factor in Q4 2026? · Above 81% | 21¢ | 21% | 1.2¢ | — | 42% | 0 | May 26, 14:00 UTC |
| Will JetBlue Airways Corporation report Above 80% load factor in Q4 2026? · Above 80% | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 92% | 0 | May 26, 14:00 UTC |
| Will JetBlue Airways Corporation report Above 79% load factor in Q4 2026? · Above 79% | 73¢ | 73% | 1.4¢ | — | 54% | 0 | May 26, 14:00 UTC |
| Will JetBlue Airways Corporation report Above 78% load factor in Q4 2026? · Above 78% | 91¢ | 91% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 0 | May 26, 14:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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