What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 28¢, about 1¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $2.52.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 29% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 28%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Politics

CISA KEV additions on Kalshi

If CISA adds at least 50 vulnerabilities to the Known Exploited Vulnerabilities Catalog with a Date Added from Nov 1, 2026 through Nov 30, 2026 (as checked at cisa.gov at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 1, 2026), then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency, the CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities Catalog.

Market says (typical open contract)

28%

Median YES price across 9 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

56% 😈

Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
28¢ (now)	1.4¢	$2.52	29.4%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will CISA add at least 25 vulnerabilities to the KEV catalog in Nov 2026? · At least 25	43¢	43%	1.7¢	—	86%	7,901	Dec 01, 15:00 UTC
Will CISA add at least 10 vulnerabilities to the KEV catalog in Nov 2026? · At least 10	96¢	96%	0.2¢	—	7%	5,658	Dec 01, 15:00 UTC
Will CISA add at least 50 vulnerabilities to the KEV catalog in Nov 2026? · At least 50	6¢	6%	0.4¢	—	11%	4,629	Dec 01, 15:00 UTC
Will CISA add at least 45 vulnerabilities to the KEV catalog in Nov 2026? · At least 45	6¢	6%	0.4¢	—	13%	3,930	Dec 01, 15:00 UTC
Will CISA add at least 20 vulnerabilities to the KEV catalog in Nov 2026? · At least 20	68¢	68%	1.5¢	—	65%	3,040	Dec 01, 15:00 UTC
Will CISA add at least 40 vulnerabilities to the KEV catalog in Nov 2026? · At least 40	12¢	12%	0.7¢	—	23%	2,362	Dec 01, 15:00 UTC
Will CISA add at least 30 vulnerabilities to the KEV catalog in Nov 2026? · At least 30	28¢	28%	1.4¢	—	56%	1,581	Dec 01, 15:00 UTC
Will CISA add at least 35 vulnerabilities to the KEV catalog in Nov 2026? · At least 35	18¢	18%	1.0¢	—	35%	1,399	Dec 01, 15:00 UTC
Will CISA add at least 15 vulnerabilities to the KEV catalog in Nov 2026? · At least 15	90¢	90%	0.6¢	—	19%	500	Dec 01, 15:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.