Markets › Kalshi › Sports
KHL Game on Kalshi
If Spartak Moscow wins the Amur Khabarovsk vs Spartak Moscow professional KHL hockey game originally scheduled for Nov 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: KHL, Sofascore.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 22 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
99% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 51¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.72 | 52.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Minsk wins · Dinamo Minsk | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 89% | 2,226 | Nov 12, 16:10 UTC |
| Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk wins · Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 2,039 | Nov 12, 16:30 UTC |
| Salavat Yulaev UFA wins · Salavat Yulaev UFA | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 1,757 | Nov 12, 16:30 UTC |
| HK Avangard Omsk wins · HK Avangard Omsk | 54¢ | 54% | 1.7¢ | — | 92% | 476 | Nov 12, 16:10 UTC |
| Traktor Chelyabinsk wins · Traktor Chelyabinsk | 57¢ | 57% | 1.7¢ | — | 86% | 294 | Nov 12, 14:00 UTC |
| Shanghai Dragons wins · Shanghai Dragons | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 84% | 129 | Nov 12, 14:00 UTC |
| SKA St. Petersburg wins · SKA St. Petersburg | 57¢ | 57% | 1.7¢ | — | 85% | 3 | Nov 13, 16:30 UTC |
| CSKA Moscow wins · CSKA Moscow | 68¢ | 68% | 1.5¢ | — | 64% | 2 | Nov 13, 16:30 UTC |
| HC Dynamo Moscow wins · HC Dynamo Moscow | 43¢ | 43% | 1.7¢ | — | 86% | 2 | Nov 13, 16:30 UTC |
| Metallurg Magnitogorsk wins · Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 55¢ | 55% | 1.7¢ | — | 90% | 2 | Nov 14, 14:00 UTC |
| HC Sochi wins · HC Sochi | 55¢ | 55% | 1.7¢ | — | 89% | 1 | Nov 13, 16:30 UTC |
| HC Barys wins · HC Barys | 61¢ | 61% | 1.7¢ | — | 78% | 1 | Nov 14, 14:30 UTC |
| Spartak Moscow wins · Spartak Moscow | 64¢ | 64% | 1.6¢ | — | 73% | 1 | Nov 14, 16:30 UTC |
| Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg wins · Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 1 | Nov 14, 14:00 UTC |
| Salavat Yulaev UFA wins · Salavat Yulaev UFA | 55¢ | 55% | 1.7¢ | — | 90% | 1 | Nov 14, 14:00 UTC |
| Amur Khabarovsk wins · Amur Khabarovsk | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 65% | 0 | Nov 14, 16:30 UTC |
| Admiral Vladivostok wins · Admiral Vladivostok | 38¢ | 38% | 1.6¢ | — | 75% | 0 | Nov 14, 14:30 UTC |
| HK Avangard Omsk wins · HK Avangard Omsk | 38¢ | 38% | 1.6¢ | — | 75% | 0 | Nov 14, 14:00 UTC |
| Shanghai Dragons wins · Shanghai Dragons | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 14:00 UTC |
| Ak Bars Kazan wins · Ak Bars Kazan | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 84% | 0 | Nov 14, 14:00 UTC |
| Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod wins · Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 63% | 0 | Nov 13, 16:30 UTC |
| Lada Togliatti wins · Lada Togliatti | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 87% | 0 | Nov 13, 16:30 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.