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Life360 annual kpi on Kalshi
If Life360, Inc. reports Above 115000000 global monthly active users in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Fiscal.ai.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 7 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
99% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 51¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.72 | 52.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Life360, Inc. report Above 114 million global monthly active users in fiscal 2026? · Above 114 million | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 500 | May 27, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Life360, Inc. report Above 113 million global monthly active users in fiscal 2026? · Above 113 million | 45¢ | 45% | 1.7¢ | — | 90% | 164 | May 27, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Life360, Inc. report Above 115 million global monthly active users in fiscal 2026? · Above 115 million | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 100 | May 27, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Life360, Inc. report Above 109 million global monthly active users in fiscal 2026? · Above 109 million | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 75 | May 27, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Life360, Inc. report Above 111 million global monthly active users in fiscal 2026? · Above 111 million | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 3 | May 27, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Life360, Inc. report Above 110 million global monthly active users in fiscal 2026? · Above 110 million | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 3 | May 27, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Life360, Inc. report Above 112 million global monthly active users in fiscal 2026? · Above 112 million | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 27, 05:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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