What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 0¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.48.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 1% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 0%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Sports

Liga Portugal Winner on Kalshi

If Guimaraes is the 2026-27 Liga Portugal Champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: ESPN, Fox Sports.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 18 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

1% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
1¢ (now)	0.1¢	$3.47	1.1%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will SL Benfica win the Liga Portugal? · SL Benfica	34¢	34%	1.6¢	—	69%	5,668	Jun 14, 22:00 UTC
Will Viseu win the Liga Portugal? · Viseu	4¢	4%	0.2¢	—	7%	2,030	Jun 14, 22:00 UTC
Will Guimaraes win the Liga Portugal? · Guimaraes	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	1,300	Jun 14, 22:00 UTC
Will Rio Ave win the Liga Portugal? · Rio Ave	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	1,300	Jun 14, 22:00 UTC
Will Moreirense win the Liga Portugal? · Moreirense	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	1,300	Jun 14, 22:00 UTC
Will Famalicao win the Liga Portugal? · Famalicao	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	1,300	Jun 14, 22:00 UTC
Will Estoril win the Liga Portugal? · Estoril	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	1,300	Jun 14, 22:00 UTC
Will Estrela Amadora win the Liga Portugal? · Estrela Amadora	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	1,300	Jun 14, 22:00 UTC
Will Madeira win the Liga Portugal? · Madeira	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	1,300	Jun 14, 22:00 UTC
Will Nacional win the Liga Portugal? · Nacional	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	1,300	Jun 14, 22:00 UTC
Will Casa Pia win the Liga Portugal? · Casa Pia	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	1,300	Jun 14, 22:00 UTC
Will Alverca win the Liga Portugal? · Alverca	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	1,300	Jun 14, 22:00 UTC
Will Sporting CP win the Liga Portugal? · Sporting CP	6¢	6%	0.4¢	—	12%	1,207	Jun 14, 22:00 UTC
Will Porto win the Liga Portugal? · Porto	57¢	57%	1.7¢	—	85%	1,171	Jun 14, 22:00 UTC
Will Arouca win the Liga Portugal? · Arouca	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	883	Jun 14, 22:00 UTC
Will Santa Clara Azores win the Liga Portugal? · Santa Clara Azores	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	882	Jun 14, 22:00 UTC
Will Vicente Barcelos win the Liga Portugal? · Vicente Barcelos	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	882	Jun 14, 22:00 UTC
Will Braga win the Liga Portugal? · Braga	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	552	Jun 14, 22:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.