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Russia Liga Pro Match on Kalshi
If Lyfenko Nikita wins the Ivanov Aleksandr vs Lyfenko Nikita men's professional Russia Liga Pro table tennis match originally scheduled for Nov 10, 2026 at 4:45 PM EST, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Sofascore, Russia Liga Pro.
Market says (typical open contract)
48%
Median YES price across 142 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
95% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 48¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.82 | 49.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mameka Maksim wins · Mameka Maksim | 84¢ | 84% | 1.0¢ | — | 33% | 6,684 | Nov 12, 09:30 UTC |
| Silantev Aleksei wins · Silantev Aleksei | 41¢ | 41% | 1.7¢ | — | 82% | 2,785 | Nov 12, 09:45 UTC |
| Novikov Ilya wins · Novikov Ilya | 56¢ | 56% | 1.7¢ | — | 88% | 1,942 | Nov 12, 10:00 UTC |
| Krivenkii Iurii wins · Krivenkii Iurii | 68¢ | 68% | 1.5¢ | — | 64% | 1,311 | Nov 12, 09:45 UTC |
| Rybalkin Aleksandr wins · Rybalkin Aleksandr | 17¢ | 17% | 1.0¢ | — | 34% | 920 | Nov 12, 09:30 UTC |
| Korotkov Aleksandr wins · Korotkov Aleksandr | 59¢ | 59% | 1.7¢ | — | 82% | 887 | Nov 12, 09:45 UTC |
| Bogdenko Viktor wins · Bogdenko Viktor | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 64% | 179 | Nov 12, 09:45 UTC |
| Lyfenko Nikita wins · Lyfenko Nikita | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 84% | 0 | Nov 12, 21:45 UTC |
| Ivanov Aleksandr wins · Ivanov Aleksandr | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 84% | 0 | Nov 12, 21:45 UTC |
| Telnov Evgenii wins · Telnov Evgenii | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 84% | 0 | Nov 12, 21:45 UTC |
| Rudenko Vasiliy wins · Rudenko Vasiliy | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 84% | 0 | Nov 12, 21:45 UTC |
| Lopatin Sergei wins · Lopatin Sergei | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 21:30 UTC |
| Krivonos Dmitrii wins · Krivonos Dmitrii | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 21:30 UTC |
| Mareev Nikita wins · Mareev Nikita | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 21:15 UTC |
| Boiko Aleksei wins · Boiko Aleksei | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 21:15 UTC |
| Vorontsov Pavel wins · Vorontsov Pavel | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 21:15 UTC |
| Slesarev Vladimir wins · Slesarev Vladimir | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 21:15 UTC |
| Safonov Vladimir wins · Safonov Vladimir | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 21:00 UTC |
| Reznikov Mikhail wins · Reznikov Mikhail | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 21:00 UTC |
| Ivanov Aleksandr wins · Ivanov Aleksandr | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 20:45 UTC |
| Ilin Anatoliy wins · Ilin Anatoliy | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 20:45 UTC |
| Rudenko Vasiliy wins · Rudenko Vasiliy | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 20:45 UTC |
| Barannik Aleksandr wins · Barannik Aleksandr | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 20:45 UTC |
| Vashkov Anton wins · Vashkov Anton | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 20:30 UTC |
| Lopatin Sergei wins · Lopatin Sergei | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 20:30 UTC |
| SHvedov Oleg wins · SHvedov Oleg | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 19:30 UTC |
| SHkolnikov IUrii wins · SHkolnikov IUrii | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 19:30 UTC |
| Pinkovskii Pavel wins · Pinkovskii Pavel | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 19:15 UTC |
| Martyukhin Sergey wins · Martyukhin Sergey | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 19:15 UTC |
| Suntsov Artem wins · Suntsov Artem | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 19:15 UTC |
| Ilyukhin Evgeniy wins · Ilyukhin Evgeniy | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 19:15 UTC |
| Denisov Oleg wins · Denisov Oleg | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 19:00 UTC |
| Danilov Evgenii wins · Danilov Evgenii | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 19:00 UTC |
| Tiapukhin Vladislav wins · Tiapukhin Vladislav | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 19:00 UTC |
| Smyshnikov Maksim wins · Smyshnikov Maksim | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 19:00 UTC |
| Savchenko Andrei wins · Savchenko Andrei | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 19:00 UTC |
| Meteleshko Igor wins · Meteleshko Igor | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 19:00 UTC |
| Chernov Artem wins · Chernov Artem | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 18:45 UTC |
| Chernoskulov Fedor wins · Chernoskulov Fedor | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 18:45 UTC |
| Pomazkov Armen wins · Pomazkov Armen | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 18:45 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 142 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.