What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 2¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.43.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 2% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 2%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Sports

Ligue 1 Last Place Finisher on Kalshi

If Toulouse finishes in last place in the league table in the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Sky Sports, ESPN, CBS Sports, Fox Sports.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 18 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

4% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
2¢ (now)	0.1¢	$3.43	2.1%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Closes
Will Toulouse finish in last place in the Ligue 1 2026-27 season? · Toulouse	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	Jun 13, 02:00 UTC
Will Stade Brest 29 finish in last place in the Ligue 1 2026-27 season? · Stade Brest 29	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	Jun 13, 02:00 UTC
Will Stade Rennes finish in last place in the Ligue 1 2026-27 season? · Stade Rennes	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	Jun 13, 02:00 UTC
Will Strasbourg Alsace finish in last place in the Ligue 1 2026-27 season? · Strasbourg Alsace	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	Jun 13, 02:00 UTC
Will Lens finish in last place in the Ligue 1 2026-27 season? · Lens	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	Jun 13, 02:00 UTC
Will PSG finish in last place in the Ligue 1 2026-27 season? · PSG	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	Jun 13, 02:00 UTC
Will Paris FC finish in last place in the Ligue 1 2026-27 season? · Paris FC	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	Jun 13, 02:00 UTC
Will Marseille finish in last place in the Ligue 1 2026-27 season? · Marseille	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	Jun 13, 02:00 UTC
Will Lyon finish in last place in the Ligue 1 2026-27 season? · Lyon	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	Jun 13, 02:00 UTC
Will Nice finish in last place in the Ligue 1 2026-27 season? · Nice	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	Jun 13, 02:00 UTC
Will Le Mans finish in last place in the Ligue 1 2026-27 season? · Le Mans	8¢	8%	0.5¢	—	15%	Jun 13, 02:00 UTC
Will Lille finish in last place in the Ligue 1 2026-27 season? · Lille	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	Jun 13, 02:00 UTC
Will Le Havre finish in last place in the Ligue 1 2026-27 season? · Le Havre	46¢	46%	1.7¢	—	93%	Jun 13, 02:00 UTC
Will Lorient finish in last place in the Ligue 1 2026-27 season? · Lorient	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	Jun 13, 02:00 UTC
Will Troyes finish in last place in the Ligue 1 2026-27 season? · Troyes	6¢	6%	0.4¢	—	11%	Jun 13, 02:00 UTC
Will Auxerre finish in last place in the Ligue 1 2026-27 season? · Auxerre	4¢	4%	0.3¢	—	8%	Jun 13, 02:00 UTC
Will Monaco finish in last place in the Ligue 1 2026-27 season? · Monaco	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	Jun 13, 02:00 UTC
Will Angers finish in last place in the Ligue 1 2026-27 season? · Angers	22¢	22%	1.2¢	—	45%	Jun 13, 02:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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