What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 2¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.41.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 3% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 2%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Financials

MacBook Price on Kalshi

If the lowest price of any MacBook model on Apple.com is below $750, on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: StockX.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 7 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

5% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
3¢ (now)	0.2¢	$3.40	3.2%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will the lowest price of any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $650 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET? · below $650	4¢	4%	0.2¢	—	7%	5,250	Feb 25, 15:00 UTC
Will the lowest price of any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $600 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET? · below $600	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	1,949	Feb 25, 15:00 UTC
Will the lowest price of any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $700 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET? · below $700	94¢	94%	0.4¢	—	12%	1,065	Feb 25, 15:00 UTC
Will the lowest price of any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $450 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET? · below $450	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	1,002	Feb 25, 15:00 UTC
Will the lowest price of any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $750 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET? · below $750	97¢	97%	0.2¢	—	6%	186	Feb 25, 15:00 UTC
Will the lowest price of any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $500 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET? · below $500	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	125	Feb 25, 15:00 UTC
Will the lowest price of any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $550 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET? · below $550	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	15	Feb 25, 15:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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