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MAGA Inc. total disbursements on Kalshi
If MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value is above 350 million dollars during calendar year 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: FEC.
Market says (typical open contract)
97%
Median YES price across 16 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
7% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
| 97¢ (now) | 0.2¢ | $0.11 | 97.2% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 200000000 during calendar year 2026? · Above 200 million dollars | 96¢ | 96% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 3,014 | Feb 01, 04:58 UTC |
| Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 300000000 during calendar year 2026? · Above 300 million dollars | 85¢ | 85% | 0.9¢ | — | 30% | 2,480 | Feb 01, 04:58 UTC |
| Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 150000000 during calendar year 2026? · Above 150 million dollars | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 1,661 | Feb 01, 04:58 UTC |
| Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 100000000 during calendar year 2026? · Above 100 million dollars | 97¢ | 97% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 1,605 | Feb 01, 04:58 UTC |
| Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 75000000 during calendar year 2026? · Above 75 million dollars | 97¢ | 97% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 479 | Feb 01, 04:58 UTC |
| Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 250000000 during calendar year 2026? · Above 250 million dollars | 88¢ | 88% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 438 | Feb 01, 04:58 UTC |
| Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 350000000 during calendar year 2026? · Above 350 million dollars | 76¢ | 76% | 1.3¢ | — | 47% | 248 | Feb 01, 04:58 UTC |
| Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 400000000 during calendar year 2026? · Above 400 million dollars | 55¢ | 55% | 1.7¢ | — | 90% | 246 | Feb 01, 04:58 UTC |
| Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 15000000 during calendar year 2026? · Above 15 million dollars | 98¢ | 98% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 117 | Feb 01, 04:58 UTC |
| Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 50000000 during calendar year 2026? · Above 50 million dollars | 97¢ | 97% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 57 | Feb 01, 04:58 UTC |
| Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 600000000 during calendar year 2026? · Above 600 million dollars | 16¢ | 16% | 0.9¢ | — | 32% | 0 | Feb 01, 04:58 UTC |
| Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 500000000 during calendar year 2026? · Above 500 million dollars | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 64% | 0 | Feb 01, 04:58 UTC |
| Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 40000000 during calendar year 2026? · Above 40 million dollars | 97¢ | 97% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Feb 01, 04:58 UTC |
| Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 30000000 during calendar year 2026? · Above 30 million dollars | 97¢ | 97% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Feb 01, 04:58 UTC |
| Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 25000000 during calendar year 2026? · Above 25 million dollars | 98¢ | 98% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Feb 01, 04:58 UTC |
| Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 20000000 during calendar year 2026? · Above 20 million dollars | 98¢ | 98% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Feb 01, 04:58 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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