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Pro Baseball American League Comeback Player of the Year on Kalshi
If Tie/Co-Winners wins the Pro Baseball American League Comeback Player of the Year in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: the Governing League.
Market says (typical open contract)
1%
Median YES price across 11 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
2% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Yordan Alvarez win AL CPOTY? · Yordan Alvarez | 98¢ | 98% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 25,035 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Mike Trout win AL CPOTY? · Mike Trout | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 14,199 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Gerrit Cole win AL CPOTY? · Gerrit Cole | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 9,191 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Adley Rutschman win AL CPOTY? · Adley Rutschman | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 3,549 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Royce Lewis win AL CPOTY? · Royce Lewis | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 918 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Anthony Volpe win AL CPOTY? · Anthony Volpe | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 737 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Zack Gelof win AL CPOTY? · Zack Gelof | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 406 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Anthony Santander win AL CPOTY? · Anthony Santander | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 161 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tie/Co-Winners win AL CPOTY? · Tie/Co-Winners | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 157 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jonathan India win AL CPOTY? · Jonathan India | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 157 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kristian Campbell win AL CPOTY? · Kristian Campbell | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 1 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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