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Pro Baseball American League MVP on Kalshi

If Cam Schlittler wins the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: the Governing League.

Market says (typical open contract)
0%
Median YES price across 49 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
1% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
1¢ (now)0.1¢$3.471.1%
30¢1.5¢$2.4531.5%
50¢1.8¢$1.7551.7%
70¢1.5¢$1.0571.5%
90¢0.6¢$0.3590.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Will Junior Caminero win AL MVP? · Junior Caminero0¢0%0.0¢—1%804,796Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Yordan Álvarez win AL MVP? · Yordan Álvarez100¢100%0.0¢—1%647,547Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Bobby Witt Jr. win AL MVP? · Bobby Witt Jr.0¢0%0.0¢—1%506,768Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Ben Rice win AL MVP? · Ben Rice0¢0%0.0¢—1%503,328Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Cam Schlittler win AL MVP? · Cam Schlittler0¢0%0.0¢—1%406,953Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Nick Kurtz win AL MVP? · Nick Kurtz0¢0%0.0¢—1%372,067Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Aaron Judge win AL MVP? · Aaron Judge0¢0%0.0¢—1%272,666Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Julio Rodríguez win AL MVP? · Julio Rodríguez0¢0%0.0¢—1%267,282Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Dillon Dingler win AL MVP · Dillon Dingler0¢0%0.0¢—1%227,569Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Mike Trout win AL MVP? · Mike Trout0¢0%0.0¢—1%220,949Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will José Ramírez win AL MVP? · José Ramírez0¢0%0.0¢—1%205,601Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Byron Buxton win AL MVP? · Byron Buxton0¢0%0.0¢—1%132,132Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Cody Bellinger win AL MVP? · Cody Bellinger0¢0%0.0¢—1%129,416Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Roman Anthony win AL MVP? · Roman Anthony0¢0%0.0¢—1%128,457Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Miguel Vargas win AL MVP · Miguel Vargas0¢0%0.0¢—1%73,637Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Pete Alonso win AL MVP? · Pete Alonso0¢0%0.0¢—1%68,224Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Gunnar Henderson win AL MVP? · Gunnar Henderson0¢0%0.0¢—1%60,925Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Adley Rutschman win AL MVP? · Adley Rutschman0¢0%0.0¢—1%58,851Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Wyatt Langford win AL MVP? · Wyatt Langford0¢0%0.0¢—1%52,964Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Vladimir Guerrero Jr. win AL MVP? · Vladimir Guerrero Jr.0¢0%0.0¢—1%46,312Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Shea Langeliers win AL MVP · Shea Langeliers0¢0%0.0¢—1%43,677Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Tarik Skubal win AL MVP? · Tarik Skubal0¢0%0.0¢—1%43,465Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Maikel García win AL MVP? · Maikel García0¢0%0.0¢—1%41,358Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Ceddanne Rafaela win AL MVP? · Ceddanne Rafaela0¢0%0.0¢—1%40,153Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Yandy Diaz win AL MVP? · Yandy Diaz0¢0%0.0¢—1%27,105Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Jarren Duran win AL MVP? · Jarren Duran0¢0%0.0¢—1%26,044Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Cal Raleigh win AL MVP? · Cal Raleigh0¢0%0.0¢—1%23,482Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Colson Montgomery win AL MVP? · Colson Montgomery0¢0%0.0¢—1%16,522Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Munetaka Murakami win AL MVP · Munetaka Murakami0¢0%0.0¢—1%15,062Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Corey Seager win AL MVP? · Corey Seager0¢0%0.0¢—1%12,604Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Zach Neto win AL MVP? · Zach Neto0¢0%0.0¢—1%10,697Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Jose Altuve win AL MVP? · Jose Altuve0¢0%0.0¢—1%9,410Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Jo Adell win AL MVP? · Jo Adell0¢0%0.0¢—1%6,038Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Riley Greene win AL MVP? · Riley Greene0¢0%0.0¢—1%5,739Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Tie/Co-Winners win AL MVP? · Tie/Co-Winners0¢0%0.0¢—1%4,583Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Randy Arozarena win AL MVP? · Randy Arozarena0¢0%0.0¢—1%3,930Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Josh Naylor win AL MVP? · Josh Naylor0¢0%0.0¢—1%2,697Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Garrett Crochet win AL MVP? · Garrett Crochet0¢0%0.0¢—1%2,534Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Jackson Holliday win AL MVP? · Jackson Holliday0¢0%0.0¢—1%2,481Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Jeremy Peña win AL MVP? · Jeremy Peña0¢0%0.0¢—1%1,237Dec 08, 15:00 UTC

Showing the 40 most traded of 49 open contracts.

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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