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Pro Baseball Gold Glove on Kalshi
If Washington wins the NL Gold Glove for Team in the 2026 Pro Baseball season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: the Governing League.
Market says (typical open contract)
48%
Median YES price across 32 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
96% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 48¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.82 | 49.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tampa Bay win the AL Gold Glove for Team in the 2026 season? · Tampa Bay | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 1,886 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Chicago C win the NL Gold Glove for Team in the 2026 season? · Chicago C | 55¢ | 55% | 1.7¢ | — | 91% | 1,089 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Boston win the AL Gold Glove for Team in the 2026 season? · Boston | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 1,043 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Milwaukee win the NL Gold Glove for Team in the 2026 season? · Milwaukee | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 823 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will St. Louis win the NL Gold Glove for Team in the 2026 season? · St. Louis | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 657 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will New York Y win the AL Gold Glove for Team in the 2026 season? · New York Y | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 419 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Toronto win the AL Gold Glove for Team in the 2026 season? · Toronto | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 229 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tie/Co-Winners win the AL Gold Glove for Team in the 2026 season? · Tie/Co-Winners | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 27 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Texas win the AL Gold Glove for Team in the 2026 season? · Texas | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 27 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Seattle win the AL Gold Glove for Team in the 2026 season? · Seattle | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 27 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Minnesota win the AL Gold Glove for Team in the 2026 season? · Minnesota | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 27 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Los Angeles A win the AL Gold Glove for Team in the 2026 season? · Los Angeles A | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 27 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Cleveland win the AL Gold Glove for Team in the 2026 season? · Cleveland | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 13 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kansas City win the AL Gold Glove for Team in the 2026 season? · Kansas City | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 5 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Houston win the AL Gold Glove for Team in the 2026 season? · Houston | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 5 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Detroit win the AL Gold Glove for Team in the 2026 season? · Detroit | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 5 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Chicago WS win the AL Gold Glove for Team in the 2026 season? · Chicago WS | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 5 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Baltimore win the AL Gold Glove for Team in the 2026 season? · Baltimore | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 5 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will A's win the AL Gold Glove for Team in the 2026 season? · A's | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 5 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Washington win the NL Gold Glove for Team in the 2026 season? · Washington | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tie/Co-Winners win the NL Gold Glove for Team in the 2026 season? · Tie/Co-Winners | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will San Francisco win the NL Gold Glove for Team in the 2026 season? · San Francisco | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will San Diego win the NL Gold Glove for Team in the 2026 season? · San Diego | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Pittsburgh win the NL Gold Glove for Team in the 2026 season? · Pittsburgh | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Philadelphia win the NL Gold Glove for Team in the 2026 season? · Philadelphia | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will New York M win the NL Gold Glove for Team in the 2026 season? · New York M | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Miami win the NL Gold Glove for Team in the 2026 season? · Miami | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Los Angeles D win the NL Gold Glove for Team in the 2026 season? · Los Angeles D | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Colorado win the NL Gold Glove for Team in the 2026 season? · Colorado | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Cincinnati win the NL Gold Glove for Team in the 2026 season? · Cincinnati | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Arizona win the NL Gold Glove for Team in the 2026 season? · Arizona | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Atlanta win the NL Gold Glove for Team in the 2026 season? · Atlanta | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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