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Pro Baseball National League Reliever of the Year on Kalshi
If Tanner Scott wins the Pro Baseball National League Reliever of the Year in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: the Governing League.
Market says (typical open contract)
2%
Median YES price across 21 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
4% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.43 | 2.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mason Miller win NL Reliever of the Year? · Mason Miller | 99¢ | 99% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 30,391 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jhoan Duran win NL Reliever of the Year? · Jhoan Duran | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 5,919 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Trevor Megill win NL Reliever of the Year? · Trevor Megill | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 4,233 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Abner Uribe win NL Reliever of the Year? · Abner Uribe | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 2,904 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Edwin Díaz win NL Reliever of the Year? · Edwin Díaz | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 2,755 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Robert Suarez win NL Reliever of the Year? · Robert Suarez | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 2,504 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Riley O’Brien win NL Reliever of the Year? · Riley O’Brien | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 1,882 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Daniel Palencia win NL Reliever of the Year? · Daniel Palencia | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 1,505 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Raisel Iglesias win NL Reliever of the Year? · Raisel Iglesias | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 794 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Devin Williams win NL Reliever of the Year? · Devin Williams | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 540 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tanner Scott win NL Reliever of the Year? · Tanner Scott | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 33 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Dennis Santana win NL Reliever of the Year? · Dennis Santana | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 31 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Gregory Soto win NL Reliever of the Year? · Gregory Soto | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 26 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tie/Co-Winners win NL Reliever of the Year? · Tie/Co-Winners | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 21 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ryan Walker win NL Reliever of the Year? · Ryan Walker | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 1 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Pete Fairbanks win NL Reliever of the Year? · Pete Fairbanks | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 1 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kevin Ginkel win NL Reliever of the Year? · Kevin Ginkel | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 1 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jeremiah Estrada win NL Reliever of the Year? · Jeremiah Estrada | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 1 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Emilio Pagán win NL Reliever of the Year? · Emilio Pagán | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 1 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Clayton Beeter win NL Reliever of the Year? · Clayton Beeter | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 1 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Adrian Morejon win NL Reliever of the Year? · Adrian Morejon | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 1 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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