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Pro Baseball Silver Slugger on Kalshi
If Fernando Tatis Jr. wins one of the NL Silver Slugger for Outfield Awards in the 2026 Pro Baseball season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: the Governing League.
Market says (typical open contract)
48%
Median YES price across 168 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
97% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 48¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.82 | 49.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Yordan Alvarez win the AL Silver Slugger for Designated Hitter in the 2026 season? · Yordan Alvarez | 92¢ | 92% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 2,025 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Matt Olson win the NL Silver Slugger for First Baseman in the 2026 season? · Matt Olson | 28¢ | 28% | 1.4¢ | — | 55% | 1,531 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ben Rice win the AL Silver Slugger for First Baseman in the 2026 season? · Ben Rice | 29¢ | 29% | 1.4¢ | — | 58% | 868 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Joc Pederson win the AL Silver Slugger for Designated Hitter in the 2026 season? · Joc Pederson | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 427 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tie/Co-Winners win the NL Silver Slugger for First Baseman in the 2026 season? · Tie/Co-Winners | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 380 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Yandy Díaz win the AL Silver Slugger for Designated Hitter in the 2026 season? · Yandy Díaz | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 351 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Luis García win the NL Silver Slugger for First Baseman in the 2026 season? · Luis García | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 345 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will William Contreras win the NL Silver Slugger for Catcher in the 2026 season? · William Contreras | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 85% | 335 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Isaac Paredes win the AL Silver Slugger for Third Baseman in the 2026 season? · Isaac Paredes | 39¢ | 39% | 1.7¢ | — | 78% | 319 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Drake Baldwin win the NL Silver Slugger for Catcher in the 2026 season? · Drake Baldwin | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 88% | 285 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jazz Chisholm Jr. win the AL Silver Slugger for Second Baseman in the 2026 season? · Jazz Chisholm Jr. | 39¢ | 39% | 1.7¢ | — | 78% | 269 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Travis Bazzana win the AL Silver Slugger for Second Baseman in the 2026 season? · Travis Bazzana | 39¢ | 39% | 1.7¢ | — | 78% | 264 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the NL Silver Slugger for Outfield in the 2026 season? · Pete Crow-Armstrong | 96¢ | 96% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 172 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Hunter Goodman win the NL Silver Slugger for Catcher in the 2026 season? · Hunter Goodman | 51¢ | 51% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 148 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Dansby Swanson win the NL Silver Slugger for Shortstop in the 2026 season? · Dansby Swanson | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 122 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Max Muncy win the NL Silver Slugger for Third Baseman in the 2026 season? · Max Muncy | 47¢ | 47% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 119 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Michael Massey win the AL Silver Slugger for Second Baseman in the 2026 season? · Michael Massey | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 119 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Luis Arraez win the NL Silver Slugger for Second Baseman in the 2026 season? · Luis Arraez | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 87% | 114 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Houston win the AL Silver Slugger for Team in the 2026 season? · Houston | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 87% | 110 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Alex Bregman win the NL Silver Slugger for Third Baseman in the 2026 season? · Alex Bregman | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 88% | 107 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Shea Langeliers win the AL Silver Slugger for Catcher in the 2026 season? · Shea Langeliers | 43¢ | 43% | 1.7¢ | — | 86% | 100 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Aaron Judge win the AL Silver Slugger for Outfield in the 2026 season? · Aaron Judge | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 45% | 71 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jose Altuve win the AL Silver Slugger for Second Baseman in the 2026 season? · Jose Altuve | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 67 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Mookie Betts win the NL Silver Slugger for Shortstop in the 2026 season? · Mookie Betts | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 55 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ozzie Albies win the NL Silver Slugger for Second Baseman in the 2026 season? · Ozzie Albies | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 91% | 55 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ernie Clement win the AL Silver Slugger for Second Baseman in the 2026 season? · Ernie Clement | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 55 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Spencer Torkelson win the AL Silver Slugger for First Baseman in the 2026 season? · Spencer Torkelson | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 91% | 55 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kody Clemens win the AL Silver Slugger for First Baseman in the 2026 season? · Kody Clemens | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 91% | 55 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Manny Machado win the NL Silver Slugger for Third Baseman in the 2026 season? · Manny Machado | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 72% | 54 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Junior Caminero win the AL Silver Slugger for Third Baseman in the 2026 season? · Junior Caminero | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 54 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Cal Raleigh win the AL Silver Slugger for Catcher in the 2026 season? · Cal Raleigh | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 51 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will JJ Wetherholt win the NL Silver Slugger for Second Baseman in the 2026 season? · JJ Wetherholt | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 51 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Xander Bogaerts win the NL Silver Slugger for Shortstop in the 2026 season? · Xander Bogaerts | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 50 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Willy Adames win the NL Silver Slugger for Shortstop in the 2026 season? · Willy Adames | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 50 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Trea Turner win the NL Silver Slugger for Shortstop in the 2026 season? · Trea Turner | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 50 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Nolan Arenado win the NL Silver Slugger for Third Baseman in the 2026 season? · Nolan Arenado | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 50 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Matt Chapman win the NL Silver Slugger for Third Baseman in the 2026 season? · Matt Chapman | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 48% | 50 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Javier Sanoja win the NL Silver Slugger for Third Baseman in the 2026 season? · Javier Sanoja | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 50 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Curtis Mead win the NL Silver Slugger for Third Baseman in the 2026 season? · Curtis Mead | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 50 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Bo Bichette win the NL Silver Slugger for Third Baseman in the 2026 season? · Bo Bichette | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 48% | 50 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 168 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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