What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 2¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.45.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 2% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 2%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Sports

MLS Western Conference winner? on Kalshi

If Toronto is the 2026 Major League Soccer (MLS) Eastern Conference champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: ESPN, Fox Sports.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 15 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

3% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
1¢ (now)	0.1¢	$3.47	1.1%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Nashville win the MLS Eastern Conference? · Nashville	40¢	40%	1.7¢	—	79%	103,882	Jan 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Miami win the MLS Eastern Conference? · Miami	24¢	24%	1.3¢	—	49%	47,394	Jan 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Chicago win the MLS Eastern Conference? · Chicago	6¢	6%	0.4¢	—	13%	25,952	Jan 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Philadelphia win the MLS Eastern Conference? · Philadelphia	8¢	8%	0.5¢	—	17%	19,063	Jan 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Orlando win the MLS Eastern Conference? · Orlando	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	12,770	Jan 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Cincinnati win the MLS Eastern Conference? · Cincinnati	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	10,895	Jan 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Columbus win the MLS Eastern Conference? · Columbus	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	6%	8,785	Jan 08, 15:00 UTC
Will New York City win the MLS Eastern Conference? · New York City	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	8,066	Jan 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Atlanta win the MLS Eastern Conference? · Atlanta	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	7,629	Jan 08, 15:00 UTC
Will New York RB win the MLS Eastern Conference? · New York RB	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	6,491	Jan 08, 15:00 UTC
Will New England win the MLS Eastern Conference? · New England	6¢	6%	0.4¢	—	11%	4,198	Jan 08, 15:00 UTC
Will DC win the MLS Eastern Conference? · DC	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	3,596	Jan 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Charlotte win the MLS Eastern Conference? · Charlotte	4¢	4%	0.3¢	—	9%	3,499	Jan 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Toronto win the MLS Eastern Conference? · Toronto	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	864	Jan 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Montreal win the MLS Eastern Conference? · Montreal	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	635	Jan 08, 15:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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