Markets › Kalshi › Elections
Mongolia Presidency on Kalshi
If the winner of the next Mongolian presidential election is Sainbuyangiin Amarsaikhan, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: the official electoral commission, constitutional court, or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction.
Market says (typical open contract)
5%
Median YES price across 11 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
10% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5¢ (now) | 0.3¢ | $3.33 | 5.3% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dashzegviin Amarbayasgalan win the next Mongolian presidential election? · Dashzegviin Amarbayasgalan | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 14,763 | Jun 29, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Nyam-Osoryn Uchral win the next Mongolian presidential election? · Nyam-Osoryn Uchral | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 13,693 | Jun 29, 14:00 UTC |
| Who will win the next Mongolian presidential election? · Gombojavyn Zandanshatar | 14¢ | 14% | 0.9¢ | — | 29% | 3,893 | Jun 29, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Odongiin Tsogtgerel win the next Mongolian presidential election? · Odongiin Tsogtgerel | 5¢ | 5% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 921 | Jun 29, 14:00 UTC |
| Who will win the next Mongolian presidential election? · Khaltmaagiin Battulga | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 239 | Jun 29, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Norovyn Altankhuyag win the next Mongolian presidential election? · Norovyn Altankhuyag | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 168 | Jun 29, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Sainbuyangiin Amarsaikhan win the next Mongolian presidential election? · Sainbuyangiin Amarsaikhan | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Jun 29, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Sandagiin Byambatsogt win the next Mongolian presidential election? · Sandagiin Byambatsogt | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Jun 29, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Luvsantserengiin Enkh-Amgalan win the next Mongolian presidential election? · Luvsantserengiin Enkh-Amgalan | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Jun 29, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Dashdondogiin Ganbat win the next Mongolian presidential election? · Dashdondogiin Ganbat | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Jun 29, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Luvsannyamyn Gantömör win the next Mongolian presidential election? · Luvsannyamyn Gantömör | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 0 | Jun 29, 14:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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