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Moto GP Teams' World Champion on Kalshi

If Trackhouse Racing wins the 2026 MotoGP Teams' World Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: MotoGP, ESPN, Fox Sports.

Market says (typical open contract)
0%
Median YES price across 11 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
1% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
1¢ (now)0.1¢$3.471.1%
30¢1.5¢$2.4531.5%
50¢1.8¢$1.7551.7%
70¢1.5¢$1.0571.5%
90¢0.6¢$0.3590.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

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Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Will Aprilia Racing be the 2026 MotoGP Teams' World Champion? · Aprilia Racing98¢98%0.1¢—4%9,789Dec 14, 15:00 UTC
Will Ducati Lenovo Team be the 2026 MotoGP Teams' World Champion? · Ducati Lenovo Team2¢2%0.2¢—5%6,778Dec 14, 15:00 UTC
Will Trackhouse Racing be the 2026 MotoGP Teams' World Champion? · Trackhouse Racing0¢0%0.0¢—1%4,564Dec 14, 15:00 UTC
Will Pertamina Enduro VR46 Racing Team be the 2026 MotoGP Teams' World Champion? · Pertamina Enduro VR46 Racing Team0¢0%0.0¢—1%845Dec 14, 15:00 UTC
Will Red Bull KTM Tech3 be the 2026 MotoGP Teams' World Champion? · Red Bull KTM Tech30¢0%0.0¢—1%285Dec 14, 15:00 UTC
Will BK8 Gresini Racing MotoGP be the 2026 MotoGP Teams' World Champion? · BK8 Gresini Racing MotoGP0¢0%0.0¢—1%166Dec 14, 15:00 UTC
Will Red Bull KTM Factory Racing be the 2026 MotoGP Teams' World Champion? · Red Bull KTM Factory Racing0¢0%0.0¢—1%165Dec 14, 15:00 UTC
Will Monster Energy Yamaha MotoGP be the 2026 MotoGP Teams' World Champion? · Monster Energy Yamaha MotoGP0¢0%0.0¢—1%83Dec 14, 15:00 UTC
Will Prima Pramac Yamaha MotoGP be the 2026 MotoGP Teams' World Champion? · Prima Pramac Yamaha MotoGP0¢0%0.0¢—1%50Dec 14, 15:00 UTC
Will LCR Honda be the 2026 MotoGP Teams' World Champion? · LCR Honda0¢0%0.0¢—1%50Dec 14, 15:00 UTC
Will Honda HRC Castrol be the 2026 MotoGP Teams' World Champion? · Honda HRC Castrol0¢0%0.0¢—1%50Dec 14, 15:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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