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Mountain Dew Point of Sale Growth on Kalshi
If the Carbon Arc Mountain Dew Point of Sale Growth (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 87 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Carbon Arc.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 14 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
99% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 51¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.72 | 52.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mountain Dew Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 100 ? · Above 100 | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 41% | 6,239 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Mountain Dew Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 104.5 ? · Above 104.5 | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 2,627 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Mountain Dew Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 93 ? · Above 93 | 82¢ | 82% | 1.0¢ | — | 36% | 2,600 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Mountain Dew Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 98.5 ? · Above 98.5 | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 44% | 2,138 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Mountain Dew Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 97 ? · Above 97 | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 59% | 1,655 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Mountain Dew Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 95.5 ? · Above 95.5 | 60¢ | 60% | 1.7¢ | — | 80% | 1,511 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Mountain Dew Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 103 ? · Above 103 | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 1,054 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Mountain Dew Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 101.5 ? · Above 101.5 | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 28% | 879 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Mountain Dew Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 96.5 ? · Above 96.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 753 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Mountain Dew Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 95 ? · Above 95 | 69¢ | 69% | 1.5¢ | — | 62% | 683 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Mountain Dew Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 97.5 ? · Above 97.5 | 29¢ | 29% | 1.4¢ | — | 57% | 579 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Mountain Dew Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 87 ? · Above 87 | 98¢ | 98% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 0 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Mountain Dew Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 89 ? · Above 89 | 98¢ | 98% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 0 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Mountain Dew Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 91 ? · Above 91 | 92¢ | 92% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 0 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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