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Pro Basketball Champion on Kalshi
If Washington wins the 2027 Pro Basketball Finals, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: the Governing League.
Market says (typical open contract)
2%
Median YES price across 30 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
3% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Makers also pay a smaller fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Philadelphia win the 2027 Pro Basketball Finals? · Philadelphia | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 10,877,442 | Jul 30, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Minnesota win the 2027 Pro Basketball Finals? · Minnesota | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 5,133,748 | Jul 30, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Golden State win the 2027 Pro Basketball Finals? · Golden State | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 4,694,689 | Jul 30, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Miami win the 2027 Pro Basketball Finals? · Miami | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 4,676,868 | Jul 30, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Los Angeles L win the 2027 Pro Basketball Finals? · Los Angeles L | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 3,608,439 | Jul 30, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Houston win the 2027 Pro Basketball Finals? · Houston | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 3,229,770 | Jul 30, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Dallas win the 2027 Pro Basketball Finals? · Dallas | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 3,092,428 | Jul 30, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Portland win the 2027 Pro Basketball Finals? · Portland | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 3,004,688 | Jul 30, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Cleveland win the 2027 Pro Basketball Finals? · Cleveland | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 2,155,750 | Jul 30, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Boston win the 2027 Pro Basketball Finals? · Boston | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 2,130,314 | Jul 30, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Oklahoma City win the 2027 Pro Basketball Finals? · Oklahoma City | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 29% | 2,027,896 | Jul 30, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Indiana win the 2027 Pro Basketball Finals? · Indiana | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 2,010,049 | Jul 30, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Toronto win the 2027 Pro Basketball Finals? · Toronto | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 1,960,519 | Jul 30, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Detroit win the 2027 Pro Basketball Finals? · Detroit | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 1,913,597 | Jul 30, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Atlanta win the 2027 Pro Basketball Finals? · Atlanta | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 1,900,265 | Jul 30, 14:00 UTC |
| Will New York win the 2027 Pro Basketball Finals? · New York | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 1,725,968 | Jul 30, 14:00 UTC |
| Will San Antonio win the 2027 Pro Basketball Finals? · San Antonio | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 45% | 1,667,400 | Jul 30, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Orlando win the 2027 Pro Basketball Finals? · Orlando | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,578,279 | Jul 30, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Memphis win the 2027 Pro Basketball Finals? · Memphis | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,340,658 | Jul 30, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Denver win the 2027 Pro Basketball Finals? · Denver | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 1,333,988 | Jul 30, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Washington win the 2027 Pro Basketball Finals? · Washington | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,288,357 | Jul 30, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Utah win the 2027 Pro Basketball Finals? · Utah | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 810,808 | Jul 30, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Charlotte win the 2027 Pro Basketball Finals? · Charlotte | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 256,910 | Jul 30, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Chicago win the 2027 Pro Basketball Finals? · Chicago | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 144,505 | Jul 30, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Los Angeles C win the 2027 Pro Basketball Finals? · Los Angeles C | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 123,235 | Jul 30, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Sacramento win the 2027 Pro Basketball Finals? · Sacramento | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 121,548 | Jul 30, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Phoenix win the 2027 Pro Basketball Finals? · Phoenix | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 95,459 | Jul 30, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Milwaukee win the 2027 Pro Basketball Finals? · Milwaukee | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 50,309 | Jul 30, 14:00 UTC |
| Will New Orleans win the 2027 Pro Basketball Finals? · New Orleans | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 46,374 | Jul 30, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Brooklyn win the 2027 Pro Basketball Finals? · Brooklyn | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 17,606 | Jul 30, 14:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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