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NBA 1st Half Team Total on Kalshi
If Portland scores more than 64.5 points in the 1st half of the Oklahoma City vs Portland Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, the Governing League.
Market says (typical open contract)
52%
Median YES price across 132 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
97% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 52¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.68 | 53.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York over 55.5 1st half points scored · New York over 55.5 points | 62¢ | 62% | 1.6¢ | — | 76% | 34 | Nov 13, 00:30 UTC |
| Milwaukee over 44.5 1st half points scored · Milwaukee over 44.5 points | 72¢ | 72% | 1.4¢ | — | 57% | 31 | Nov 13, 00:30 UTC |
| Los Angeles C over 55.5 1st half points scored · Los Angeles C over 55.5 points | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 73% | 17 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| Oklahoma City over 54.5 1st half points scored · Oklahoma City over 54.5 points | 54¢ | 54% | 1.7¢ | — | 91% | 15 | Nov 13, 04:00 UTC |
| Boston over 52.5 1st half points scored · Boston over 52.5 points | 62¢ | 62% | 1.6¢ | — | 76% | 6 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| Boston over 56.5 1st half points scored · Boston over 56.5 points | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 1 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| Portland over 64.5 1st half points scored · Portland over 64.5 points | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 0 | Nov 13, 04:00 UTC |
| Portland over 62.5 1st half points scored · Portland over 62.5 points | 14¢ | 14% | 0.9¢ | — | 29% | 0 | Nov 13, 04:00 UTC |
| Portland over 60.5 1st half points scored · Portland over 60.5 points | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 45% | 0 | Nov 13, 04:00 UTC |
| Portland over 58.5 1st half points scored · Portland over 58.5 points | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 65% | 0 | Nov 13, 04:00 UTC |
| Portland over 56.5 1st half points scored · Portland over 56.5 points | 41¢ | 41% | 1.7¢ | — | 82% | 0 | Nov 13, 04:00 UTC |
| Portland over 54.5 1st half points scored · Portland over 54.5 points | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 13, 04:00 UTC |
| Portland over 52.5 1st half points scored · Portland over 52.5 points | 60¢ | 60% | 1.7¢ | — | 80% | 0 | Nov 13, 04:00 UTC |
| Portland over 50.5 1st half points scored · Portland over 50.5 points | 72¢ | 72% | 1.4¢ | — | 56% | 0 | Nov 13, 04:00 UTC |
| Portland over 48.5 1st half points scored · Portland over 48.5 points | 78¢ | 78% | 1.2¢ | — | 44% | 0 | Nov 13, 04:00 UTC |
| Portland over 46.5 1st half points scored · Portland over 46.5 points | 85¢ | 85% | 0.9¢ | — | 30% | 0 | Nov 13, 04:00 UTC |
| Portland over 44.5 1st half points scored · Portland over 44.5 points | 88¢ | 88% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 0 | Nov 13, 04:00 UTC |
| Oklahoma City over 64.5 1st half points scored · Oklahoma City over 64.5 points | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 0 | Nov 13, 04:00 UTC |
| Oklahoma City over 62.5 1st half points scored · Oklahoma City over 62.5 points | 19¢ | 19% | 1.1¢ | — | 38% | 0 | Nov 13, 04:00 UTC |
| Oklahoma City over 60.5 1st half points scored · Oklahoma City over 60.5 points | 28¢ | 28% | 1.4¢ | — | 56% | 0 | Nov 13, 04:00 UTC |
| Oklahoma City over 58.5 1st half points scored · Oklahoma City over 58.5 points | 35¢ | 35% | 1.6¢ | — | 70% | 0 | Nov 13, 04:00 UTC |
| Oklahoma City over 56.5 1st half points scored · Oklahoma City over 56.5 points | 45¢ | 45% | 1.7¢ | — | 90% | 0 | Nov 13, 04:00 UTC |
| Oklahoma City over 52.5 1st half points scored · Oklahoma City over 52.5 points | 65¢ | 65% | 1.6¢ | — | 70% | 0 | Nov 13, 04:00 UTC |
| Oklahoma City over 50.5 1st half points scored · Oklahoma City over 50.5 points | 72¢ | 72% | 1.4¢ | — | 56% | 0 | Nov 13, 04:00 UTC |
| Oklahoma City over 48.5 1st half points scored · Oklahoma City over 48.5 points | 80¢ | 80% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 0 | Nov 13, 04:00 UTC |
| Oklahoma City over 46.5 1st half points scored · Oklahoma City over 46.5 points | 90¢ | 90% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 0 | Nov 13, 04:00 UTC |
| Oklahoma City over 44.5 1st half points scored · Oklahoma City over 44.5 points | 88¢ | 88% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 0 | Nov 13, 04:00 UTC |
| Sacramento over 65.5 1st half points scored · Sacramento over 65.5 points | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 0 | Nov 13, 03:00 UTC |
| Sacramento over 63.5 1st half points scored · Sacramento over 63.5 points | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 0 | Nov 13, 03:00 UTC |
| Sacramento over 61.5 1st half points scored · Sacramento over 61.5 points | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 28% | 0 | Nov 13, 03:00 UTC |
| Sacramento over 59.5 1st half points scored · Sacramento over 59.5 points | 23¢ | 23% | 1.2¢ | — | 46% | 0 | Nov 13, 03:00 UTC |
| Sacramento over 57.5 1st half points scored · Sacramento over 57.5 points | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 65% | 0 | Nov 13, 03:00 UTC |
| Sacramento over 55.5 1st half points scored · Sacramento over 55.5 points | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 13, 03:00 UTC |
| Sacramento over 53.5 1st half points scored · Sacramento over 53.5 points | 62¢ | 62% | 1.7¢ | — | 77% | 0 | Nov 13, 03:00 UTC |
| Sacramento over 51.5 1st half points scored · Sacramento over 51.5 points | 70¢ | 70% | 1.5¢ | — | 59% | 0 | Nov 13, 03:00 UTC |
| Sacramento over 49.5 1st half points scored · Sacramento over 49.5 points | 69¢ | 69% | 1.5¢ | — | 62% | 0 | Nov 13, 03:00 UTC |
| Sacramento over 47.5 1st half points scored · Sacramento over 47.5 points | 68¢ | 68% | 1.5¢ | — | 64% | 0 | Nov 13, 03:00 UTC |
| Sacramento over 45.5 1st half points scored · Sacramento over 45.5 points | 56¢ | 56% | 1.7¢ | — | 87% | 0 | Nov 13, 03:00 UTC |
| Orlando over 68.5 1st half points scored · Orlando over 68.5 points | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 0 | Nov 13, 03:00 UTC |
| Orlando over 66.5 1st half points scored · Orlando over 66.5 points | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 22% | 0 | Nov 13, 03:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 132 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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