Markets › Kalshi › Sports
All-NBA 1st Team on Kalshi
If Victor Wembanyama is selected to the All-Pro Basketball First Team in the 2026-27 Pro Basketball season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, the Governing League.
Market says (typical open contract)
24%
Median YES price across 39 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
47% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23¢ (now) | 1.2¢ | $2.70 | 24.2% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All-Pro Basketball First Team Selection: Cooper Flagg · Cooper Flagg | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 195 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Pro Basketball First Team Selection: Giannis Antetokounmpo · Giannis Antetokounmpo | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 105 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Pro Basketball First Team Selection: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 41 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Pro Basketball First Team Selection: Tyrese Maxey · Tyrese Maxey | 59¢ | 59% | 1.7¢ | — | 82% | 14 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Pro Basketball First Team Selection: LeBron James · LeBron James | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 43% | 14 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Pro Basketball First Team Selection: Cade Cunningham · Cade Cunningham | 47¢ | 47% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 10 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Pro Basketball First Team Selection: Anthony Edwards · Anthony Edwards | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 5 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Pro Basketball First Team Selection: Stephen Curry · Stephen Curry | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 69% | 2 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Pro Basketball First Team Selection: Luka Dončić · Luka Dončić | 77¢ | 77% | 1.2¢ | — | 45% | 1 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Pro Basketball First Team Selection: Nikola Jokić · Nikola Jokić | 72¢ | 72% | 1.4¢ | — | 56% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Pro Basketball First Team Selection: Victor Wembanyama · Victor Wembanyama | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Pro Basketball First Team Selection: Tyrese Haliburton · Tyrese Haliburton | 27¢ | 27% | 1.4¢ | — | 54% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Pro Basketball First Team Selection: Scottie Barnes · Scottie Barnes | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 45% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Pro Basketball First Team Selection: Pascal Siakam · Pascal Siakam | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 35% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Pro Basketball First Team Selection: Paolo Banchero · Paolo Banchero | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 35% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Pro Basketball First Team Selection: LaMelo Ball · LaMelo Ball | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 39% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Pro Basketball First Team Selection: Karl-Anthony Towns · Karl-Anthony Towns | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 45% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Pro Basketball First Team Selection: Kawhi Leonard · Kawhi Leonard | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Pro Basketball First Team Selection: Kon Knueppel · Kon Knueppel | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Pro Basketball First Team Selection: Kevin Durant · Kevin Durant | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 65% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Pro Basketball First Team Selection: Jalen Williams · Jalen Williams | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Pro Basketball First Team Selection: Jayson Tatum · Jayson Tatum | 60¢ | 60% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Pro Basketball First Team Selection: Jamal Murray · Jamal Murray | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 47% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Pro Basketball First Team Selection: Jalen Johnson · Jalen Johnson | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 45% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Pro Basketball First Team Selection: Joel Embiid · Joel Embiid | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 39% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Pro Basketball First Team Selection: Jimmy Butler · Jimmy Butler | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Pro Basketball First Team Selection: Jalen Brunson · Jalen Brunson | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Pro Basketball First Team Selection: Jaylen Brown · Jaylen Brown | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Pro Basketball First Team Selection: Evan Mobley · Evan Mobley | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 45% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Pro Basketball First Team Selection: Darryn Peterson · Darryn Peterson | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Pro Basketball First Team Selection: Donovan Mitchell · Donovan Mitchell | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Pro Basketball First Team Selection: Devin Booker · Devin Booker | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Pro Basketball First Team Selection: Deni Avdija · Deni Avdija | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Pro Basketball First Team Selection: Caleb Wilson · Caleb Wilson | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Pro Basketball First Team Selection: Chet Holmgren · Chet Holmgren | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 30% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Pro Basketball First Team Selection: Cameron Boozer · Cameron Boozer | 14¢ | 14% | 0.9¢ | — | 29% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Pro Basketball First Team Selection: Alperen Sengun · Alperen Sengun | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 45% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Pro Basketball First Team Selection: AJ Dybantsa · AJ Dybantsa | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 35% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Pro Basketball First Team Selection: Anthony Davis · Anthony Davis | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.