Markets › Kalshi › Sports
NBA Player Double Double on Kalshi
If Oso Ighodaro records a double double in the Los Angeles C vs Phoenix Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, the Governing League.
Market says (typical open contract)
8%
Median YES price across 59 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
16% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8¢ (now) | 0.5¢ | $3.22 | 8.5% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Double Double · Isaiah Hartenstein | 27¢ | 27% | 1.4¢ | — | 54% | 819 | Nov 13, 04:00 UTC |
| Darryn Peterson: Double Double · Darryn Peterson | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 175 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| Jayson Tatum: Double Double · Jayson Tatum | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 72% | 92 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| Dillon Brooks: Double Double · Dillon Brooks | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 72 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Double Double · Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 66 | Nov 13, 04:00 UTC |
| Payton Pritchard: Double Double · Payton Pritchard | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 66 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| Donovan Clingan: Double Double · Donovan Clingan | 43¢ | 43% | 1.7¢ | — | 85% | 40 | Nov 13, 04:00 UTC |
| LeBron James: Double Double · LeBron James | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 49% | 31 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| Lauri Markkanen: Double Double · Lauri Markkanen | 13¢ | 13% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 22 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Double Double · Giannis Antetokounmpo | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 91% | 11 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| Domantas Sabonis: Double Double · Domantas Sabonis | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 5 | Nov 13, 03:00 UTC |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Double Double · Karl-Anthony Towns | 72¢ | 72% | 1.4¢ | — | 57% | 5 | Nov 13, 00:30 UTC |
| Oso Ighodaro: Double Double · Oso Ighodaro | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 0 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| Miles Bridges: Double Double · Miles Bridges | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 0 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| Khaman Maluach: Double Double · Khaman Maluach | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 0 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| Jalen Green: Double Double · Jalen Green | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| Devin Booker: Double Double · Devin Booker | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 0 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| Rui Hachimura: Double Double · Rui Hachimura | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 0 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| Kris Dunn: Double Double · Kris Dunn | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: Double Double · Derrick Jones Jr. | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| Darius Garland: Double Double · Darius Garland | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 0 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| Brook Lopez: Double Double · Brook Lopez | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 0 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| De'Andre Hunter: Double Double · De'Andre Hunter | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 0 | Nov 13, 03:00 UTC |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Double Double · Darius Acuff Jr. | 14¢ | 14% | 0.9¢ | — | 29% | 0 | Nov 13, 03:00 UTC |
| Precious Achiuwa: Double Double · Precious Achiuwa | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 0 | Nov 13, 03:00 UTC |
| Isaiah Collier: Double Double · Isaiah Collier | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 0 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| Wendell Carter Jr.: Double Double · Wendell Carter Jr. | 38¢ | 38% | 1.6¢ | — | 75% | 0 | Nov 13, 03:00 UTC |
| Tristan da Silva: Double Double · Tristan da Silva | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Nov 13, 03:00 UTC |
| Jase Richardson: Double Double · Jase Richardson | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Nov 13, 03:00 UTC |
| Jamal Cain: Double Double · Jamal Cain | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 0 | Nov 13, 03:00 UTC |
| Franz Wagner: Double Double · Franz Wagner | 26¢ | 26% | 1.4¢ | — | 53% | 0 | Nov 13, 03:00 UTC |
| Desmond Bane: Double Double · Desmond Bane | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Nov 13, 03:00 UTC |
| Anthony Black: Double Double · Anthony Black | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 0 | Nov 13, 03:00 UTC |
| Damian Lillard: Double Double · Damian Lillard | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Nov 13, 04:00 UTC |
| Jrue Holiday: Double Double · Jrue Holiday | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 0 | Nov 13, 04:00 UTC |
| Robert Williams III: Double Double · Robert Williams III | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 0 | Nov 13, 04:00 UTC |
| Toumani Camara: Double Double · Toumani Camara | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Nov 13, 04:00 UTC |
| Deni Avdija: Double Double · Deni Avdija | 28¢ | 28% | 1.4¢ | — | 55% | 0 | Nov 13, 04:00 UTC |
| Bobby Portis: Double Double · Bobby Portis | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 0 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| Pelle Larsson: Double Double · Pelle Larsson | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 59 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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