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NBA All-Stars on Kalshi
If Yaxel Lendeborg is selected as a Pro Basketball All-Star in the 2026-27 Pro Basketball season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: the Governing League, ESPN.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 62 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 23:27 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
99% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 51¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.72 | 52.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pro Basketball All-Star Selection: Tyrese Haliburton · Tyrese Haliburton | 38¢ | 38% | 1.7¢ | — | 77% | 728 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball All-Star Selection: Julius Randle · Julius Randle | 45¢ | 45% | 1.7¢ | — | 90% | 117 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball All-Star Selection: Keyonte George · Keyonte George | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 107 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball All-Star Selection: Cooper Flagg · Cooper Flagg | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 104 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball All-Star Selection: Anthony Edwards · Anthony Edwards | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 40 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball All-Star Selection: Yaxel Lendeborg · Yaxel Lendeborg | 57¢ | 57% | 1.7¢ | — | 86% | 37 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball All-Star Selection: Domantas Sabonis · Domantas Sabonis | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 20 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball All-Star Selection: LaMelo Ball · LaMelo Ball | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 18 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball All-Star Selection: Kyrie Irving · Kyrie Irving | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 10 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball All-Star Selection: Austin Reaves · Austin Reaves | 56¢ | 56% | 1.7¢ | — | 87% | 9 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball All-Star Selection: Brandon Miller · Brandon Miller | 60¢ | 60% | 1.7¢ | — | 80% | 6 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball All-Star Selection: Stephen Curry · Stephen Curry | 82¢ | 82% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 2 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball All-Star Selection: Deni Avdija · Deni Avdija | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 89% | 1 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball All-Star Selection: Paolo Banchero · Paolo Banchero | 38¢ | 38% | 1.6¢ | — | 76% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball All-Star Selection: Alperen Sengun · Alperen Sengun | 80¢ | 80% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball All-Star Selection: Victor Wembanyama · Victor Wembanyama | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball All-Star Selection: Ty Jerome · Ty Jerome | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball All-Star Selection: Zion Williamson · Zion Williamson | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball All-Star Selection: Trae Young · Trae Young | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 69% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball All-Star Selection: Trey Murphy III · Trey Murphy III | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball All-Star Selection: Tyrese Maxey · Tyrese Maxey | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball All-Star Selection: Tyler Herro · Tyler Herro | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball All-Star Selection: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball All-Star Selection: Scottie Barnes · Scottie Barnes | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball All-Star Selection: Pascal Siakam · Pascal Siakam | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 87% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball All-Star Selection: Norman Powell · Norman Powell | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 51% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball All-Star Selection: Nikola Jokić · Nikola Jokić | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball All-Star Selection: Michael Porter Jr. · Michael Porter Jr. | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball All-Star Selection: Lauri Markkanen · Lauri Markkanen | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball All-Star Selection: LeBron James · LeBron James | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball All-Star Selection: Luka Dončić · Luka Dončić | 84¢ | 84% | 0.9¢ | — | 31% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball All-Star Selection: Karl-Anthony Towns · Karl-Anthony Towns | 64¢ | 64% | 1.6¢ | — | 71% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball All-Star Selection: Kawhi Leonard · Kawhi Leonard | 45¢ | 45% | 1.7¢ | — | 90% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball All-Star Selection: Kon Knueppel · Kon Knueppel | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 51% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball All-Star Selection: Kevin Durant · Kevin Durant | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball All-Star Selection: Jalen Williams · Jalen Williams | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball All-Star Selection: Jayson Tatum · Jayson Tatum | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball All-Star Selection: Jamal Murray · Jamal Murray | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball All-Star Selection: Ja Morant · Ja Morant | 38¢ | 38% | 1.6¢ | — | 75% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball All-Star Selection: Jalen Johnson · Jalen Johnson | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 62 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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