Markets › Kalshi › Sports
NBA Player Blocks on Kalshi
If Myles Turner records 3+ blocks in the Milwaukee vs New York Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, the Governing League.
Market says (typical open contract)
35%
Median YES price across 33 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
70% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 35¢ (now) | 1.6¢ | $2.28 | 36.6% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Clingan: 2+ blocks · Donovan Clingan: 2+ | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 219 | Nov 13, 04:00 UTC |
| Joel Embiid: 1+ blocks · Joel Embiid: 1+ | 56¢ | 56% | 1.7¢ | — | 88% | 202 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| LeBron James: 1+ blocks · LeBron James: 1+ | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 92% | 176 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: 2+ blocks · Giannis Antetokounmpo: 2+ | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 140 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| Precious Achiuwa: 1+ blocks · Precious Achiuwa: 1+ | 60¢ | 60% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 90 | Nov 13, 03:00 UTC |
| Myles Turner: 2+ blocks · Myles Turner: 2+ | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 49 | Nov 13, 00:30 UTC |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: 1+ blocks · Giannis Antetokounmpo: 1+ | 66¢ | 66% | 1.6¢ | — | 68% | 26 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| Neemias Queta: 3+ blocks · Neemias Queta: 3+ | 13¢ | 13% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 13 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| Brook Lopez: 2+ blocks · Brook Lopez: 2+ | 38¢ | 38% | 1.6¢ | — | 76% | 12 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| Jaxson Hayes: 1+ blocks · Jaxson Hayes: 1+ | 67¢ | 67% | 1.5¢ | — | 66% | 2 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| Myles Turner: 1+ blocks · Myles Turner: 1+ | 74¢ | 74% | 1.3¢ | — | 51% | 0 | Nov 13, 00:30 UTC |
| Myles Turner: 3+ blocks · Myles Turner: 3+ | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 39% | 0 | Nov 13, 00:30 UTC |
| Donovan Clingan: 3+ blocks · Donovan Clingan: 3+ | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 60% | 0 | Nov 13, 04:00 UTC |
| Donovan Clingan: 1+ blocks · Donovan Clingan: 1+ | 80¢ | 80% | 1.1¢ | — | 41% | 0 | Nov 13, 04:00 UTC |
| Aday Mara: 3+ blocks · Aday Mara: 3+ | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 47% | 0 | Nov 13, 04:00 UTC |
| Aday Mara: 2+ blocks · Aday Mara: 2+ | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 13, 04:00 UTC |
| Aday Mara: 1+ blocks · Aday Mara: 1+ | 76¢ | 76% | 1.3¢ | — | 47% | 0 | Nov 13, 04:00 UTC |
| Jaxson Hayes: 3+ blocks · Jaxson Hayes: 3+ | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 29% | 0 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| Jaxson Hayes: 2+ blocks · Jaxson Hayes: 2+ | 35¢ | 35% | 1.6¢ | — | 70% | 0 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: 3+ blocks · Giannis Antetokounmpo: 3+ | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 0 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| Anthony Black: 2+ blocks · Anthony Black: 2+ | 18¢ | 18% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 0 | Nov 13, 03:00 UTC |
| Anthony Black: 1+ blocks · Anthony Black: 1+ | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 13, 03:00 UTC |
| Khaman Maluach: 3+ blocks · Khaman Maluach: 3+ | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 0 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| Khaman Maluach: 2+ blocks · Khaman Maluach: 2+ | 31¢ | 31% | 1.5¢ | — | 61% | 0 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| Khaman Maluach: 1+ blocks · Khaman Maluach: 1+ | 62¢ | 62% | 1.6¢ | — | 75% | 0 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| Brook Lopez: 3+ blocks · Brook Lopez: 3+ | 17¢ | 17% | 1.0¢ | — | 34% | 0 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| Brook Lopez: 1+ blocks · Brook Lopez: 1+ | 71¢ | 71% | 1.4¢ | — | 58% | 0 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| Precious Achiuwa: 3+ blocks · Precious Achiuwa: 3+ | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 0 | Nov 13, 03:00 UTC |
| Precious Achiuwa: 2+ blocks · Precious Achiuwa: 2+ | 19¢ | 19% | 1.1¢ | — | 38% | 0 | Nov 13, 03:00 UTC |
| Joel Embiid: 2+ blocks · Joel Embiid: 2+ | 23¢ | 23% | 1.2¢ | — | 46% | 0 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| LeBron James: 2+ blocks · LeBron James: 2+ | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 29% | 0 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| Neemias Queta: 2+ blocks · Neemias Queta: 2+ | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 63% | 0 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| Neemias Queta: 1+ blocks · Neemias Queta: 1+ | 64¢ | 64% | 1.6¢ | — | 71% | 0 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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